Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 98% for the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capturing Khartoum by June 30, reflecting the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital since recapturing it in May 2025 after over two years of RSF occupation. Recent reports highlight a military impasse entering the war's fourth year, with RSF focusing advances on western Darfur, Kordofan, and Blue Nile border areas like Kurmuk in early April, but no significant push toward Khartoum amid entrenched territorial divisions. With just over two months remaining, SAF dominance in central Sudan underpins high confidence, though sudden escalations, external support shifts, or major breakthroughs could theoretically alter dynamics despite logistical barriers and stalemate.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या आरएसएफ 30 जून तक खार्तूम पर कब्जा कर लेगा?
क्या आरएसएफ 30 जून तक खार्तूम पर कब्जा कर लेगा?
हाँ
$18,208 वॉल्यूम
$18,208 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
$18,208 वॉल्यूम
$18,208 वॉल्यूम
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 98% for the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capturing Khartoum by June 30, reflecting the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital since recapturing it in May 2025 after over two years of RSF occupation. Recent reports highlight a military impasse entering the war's fourth year, with RSF focusing advances on western Darfur, Kordofan, and Blue Nile border areas like Kurmuk in early April, but no significant push toward Khartoum amid entrenched territorial divisions. With just over two months remaining, SAF dominance in central Sudan underpins high confidence, though sudden escalations, external support shifts, or major breakthroughs could theoretically alter dynamics despite logistical barriers and stalemate.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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