Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) will not capture Khartoum by June 30, driven by the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital since recapturing it in March 2025, including key sites like the presidential palace and international airport. Over a year later, as of mid-April 2026, the SAF maintains territorial dominance in central Sudan, with life returning to fragile normalcy in Khartoum amid a military impasse. The RSF holds much of Darfur and parts of Kordofan but shows no momentum toward the capital, focusing instead on western frontlines amid UN-condemned attacks and stalled offensives. Realistic shifts would require improbable RSF breakthroughs in Omdurman or Kordofan, a negotiated handover, or external escalations altering the stalemate.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या आरएसएफ 30 जून तक खार्तूम पर कब्जा कर लेगा?
क्या आरएसएफ 30 जून तक खार्तूम पर कब्जा कर लेगा?
हाँ
$18,208 वॉल्यूम
$18,208 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
हाँ
$18,208 वॉल्यूम
$18,208 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) will not capture Khartoum by June 30, driven by the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital since recapturing it in March 2025, including key sites like the presidential palace and international airport. Over a year later, as of mid-April 2026, the SAF maintains territorial dominance in central Sudan, with life returning to fragile normalcy in Khartoum amid a military impasse. The RSF holds much of Darfur and parts of Kordofan but shows no momentum toward the capital, focusing instead on western frontlines amid UN-condemned attacks and stalled offensives. Realistic shifts would require improbable RSF breakthroughs in Omdurman or Kordofan, a negotiated handover, or external escalations altering the stalemate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,208समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) will not capture Khartoum by June 30, driven by the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital since recapturing it in March 2025, including key sites like the presidential palace and international airport. Over a year later, as of mid-April 2026, the SAF maintains territorial dominance in central Sudan, with life returning to fragile normalcy in Khartoum amid a military impasse. The RSF holds much of Darfur and parts of Kordofan but shows no momentum toward the capital, focusing instead on western frontlines amid UN-condemned attacks and stalled offensives. Realistic shifts would require improbable RSF breakthroughs in Omdurman or Kordofan, a negotiated handover, or external escalations altering the stalemate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
वॉल्यूम
$18,208समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) will not capture Khartoum by June 30, driven by the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital since recapturing it in March 2025, including key sites like the presidential palace and international airport. Over a year later, as of mid-April 2026, the SAF maintains territorial dominance in central Sudan, with life returning to fragile normalcy in Khartoum amid a military impasse. The RSF holds much of Darfur and parts of Kordofan but shows no momentum toward the capital, focusing instead on western frontlines amid UN-condemned attacks and stalled offensives. Realistic shifts would require improbable RSF breakthroughs in Omdurman or Kordofan, a negotiated handover, or external escalations altering the stalemate.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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