Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 gave it a clear procedural lead over OpenAI, which followed on June 8, positioning the Claude maker to potentially complete its S-1 review and list first in the fall of 2026. Both frontier AI labs are now formally in the IPO queue targeting near-trillion-dollar valuations amid strong investor appetite for large language model businesses, yet Anthropic’s earlier start, recent $965 billion private round, and reported October–November window have shifted trader consensus toward a 69.5% probability it debuts ahead. Key swing factors include the pace of SEC comments on revenue recognition and AI risk disclosures, any last-minute private funding rounds, and market volatility that could compress or extend timelines for either company.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाएंथ्रॉपिक
$170,383 वॉल्यूम
$170,383 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2027
एंथ्रॉपिक
$170,383 वॉल्यूम
$170,383 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 gave it a clear procedural lead over OpenAI, which followed on June 8, positioning the Claude maker to potentially complete its S-1 review and list first in the fall of 2026. Both frontier AI labs are now formally in the IPO queue targeting near-trillion-dollar valuations amid strong investor appetite for large language model businesses, yet Anthropic’s earlier start, recent $965 billion private round, and reported October–November window have shifted trader consensus toward a 69.5% probability it debuts ahead. Key swing factors include the pace of SEC comments on revenue recognition and AI risk disclosures, any last-minute private funding rounds, and market volatility that could compress or extend timelines for either company.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$170,383समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 gave it a clear procedural lead over OpenAI, which followed on June 8, positioning the Claude maker to potentially complete its S-1 review and list first in the fall of 2026. Both frontier AI labs are now formally in the IPO queue targeting near-trillion-dollar valuations amid strong investor appetite for large language model businesses, yet Anthropic’s earlier start, recent $965 billion private round, and reported October–November window have shifted trader consensus toward a 69.5% probability it debuts ahead. Key swing factors include the pace of SEC comments on revenue recognition and AI risk disclosures, any last-minute private funding rounds, and market volatility that could compress or extend timelines for either company.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$170,383समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 gave it a clear procedural lead over OpenAI, which followed on June 8, positioning the Claude maker to potentially complete its S-1 review and list first in the fall of 2026. Both frontier AI labs are now formally in the IPO queue targeting near-trillion-dollar valuations amid strong investor appetite for large language model businesses, yet Anthropic’s earlier start, recent $965 billion private round, and reported October–November window have shifted trader consensus toward a 69.5% probability it debuts ahead. Key swing factors include the pace of SEC comments on revenue recognition and AI risk disclosures, any last-minute private funding rounds, and market volatility that could compress or extend timelines for either company.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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