**US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled following the June 2026 interim memorandum of understanding that paused major hostilities and launched a 60-day window for talks on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz navigation, and a Lebanon ceasefire.** High-level meetings in Switzerland produced a roadmap and technical working groups, but the period expired without a final accord. Tit-for-tat strikes resumed around the Strait of Hormuz in late June and early September, including US responses to Iranian actions on shipping and Iranian missile strikes on US-linked targets. President Trump has issued warnings of further measures while mediators Qatar and Pakistan continue shuttle efforts. Key variables for any round before December 31 include verifiable implementation steps on sanctions waivers or IAEA access, de-escalation in Hormuz and Lebanon, and whether delegations advance beyond technical channels amid persistent mutual distrust.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$475,315 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
स्टीव विटकॉफ
24%
जे.डी. वेंस
23%
जेरेड कुशनर
21%
अब्बास अराग़ची
20%
मोहम्मद बाघेर ग़ालिबाफ
20%
मजीद तख्त-रावांजी
18%
निक स्टीवर्ट
18%
बद्र बिन हमद अल बुसेदी
17%
काजम घरीबाबादी
16%
इशाक डार
16%
मोहम्मद बिन सलमान
12%
मोहम्मद बिन अब्दुलरहमान अल सानी
11%
राफेल ग्रोसी
11%
मसूद पज़ेश्कियन
10%
मार्को रुबिओ
7%
डोनाल्ड ट्रंप
6%
इस्माइल क़आनी
6%
पीट हेगसेथ
6%
अहमद वहीदी
4%
मोज्तबा खामेनेई
2%
$475,315 वॉल्यूम
स्टीव विटकॉफ
$33,284 वॉल्यूम
24%
जे.डी. वेंस
$29,329 वॉल्यूम
23%
जेरेड कुशनर
$67,674 वॉल्यूम
21%
अब्बास अराग़ची
$19,759 वॉल्यूम
20%
मोहम्मद बाघेर ग़ालिबाफ
$21,466 वॉल्यूम
20%
मजीद तख्त-रावांजी
$17,270 वॉल्यूम
18%
निक स्टीवर्ट
$12,950 वॉल्यूम
18%
बद्र बिन हमद अल बुसेदी
$31,079 वॉल्यूम
17%
काजम घरीबाबादी
$19,847 वॉल्यूम
16%
इशाक डार
$23,559 वॉल्यूम
16%
मोहम्मद बिन सलमान
$5,526 वॉल्यूम
12%
मोहम्मद बिन अब्दुलरहमान अल सानी
$40,181 वॉल्यूम
11%
राफेल ग्रोसी
$36,253 वॉल्यूम
11%
मसूद पज़ेश्कियन
$24,252 वॉल्यूम
10%
मार्को रुबिओ
$13,764 वॉल्यूम
7%
डोनाल्ड ट्रंप
$9,806 वॉल्यूम
6%
इस्माइल क़आनी
$11,520 वॉल्यूम
6%
पीट हेगसेथ
$20,123 वॉल्यूम
6%
अहमद वहीदी
$14,466 वॉल्यूम
4%
मोज्तबा खामेनेई
$23,208 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled following the June 2026 interim memorandum of understanding that paused major hostilities and launched a 60-day window for talks on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz navigation, and a Lebanon ceasefire.** High-level meetings in Switzerland produced a roadmap and technical working groups, but the period expired without a final accord. Tit-for-tat strikes resumed around the Strait of Hormuz in late June and early September, including US responses to Iranian actions on shipping and Iranian missile strikes on US-linked targets. President Trump has issued warnings of further measures while mediators Qatar and Pakistan continue shuttle efforts. Key variables for any round before December 31 include verifiable implementation steps on sanctions waivers or IAEA access, de-escalation in Hormuz and Lebanon, and whether delegations advance beyond technical channels amid persistent mutual distrust.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$475,315समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled following the June 2026 interim memorandum of understanding that paused major hostilities and launched a 60-day window for talks on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz navigation, and a Lebanon ceasefire.** High-level meetings in Switzerland produced a roadmap and technical working groups, but the period expired without a final accord. Tit-for-tat strikes resumed around the Strait of Hormuz in late June and early September, including US responses to Iranian actions on shipping and Iranian missile strikes on US-linked targets. President Trump has issued warnings of further measures while mediators Qatar and Pakistan continue shuttle efforts. Key variables for any round before December 31 include verifiable implementation steps on sanctions waivers or IAEA access, de-escalation in Hormuz and Lebanon, and whether delegations advance beyond technical channels amid persistent mutual distrust.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$475,315समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...**US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled following the June 2026 interim memorandum of understanding that paused major hostilities and launched a 60-day window for talks on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz navigation, and a Lebanon ceasefire.** High-level meetings in Switzerland produced a roadmap and technical working groups, but the period expired without a final accord. Tit-for-tat strikes resumed around the Strait of Hormuz in late June and early September, including US responses to Iranian actions on shipping and Iranian missile strikes on US-linked targets. President Trump has issued warnings of further measures while mediators Qatar and Pakistan continue shuttle efforts. Key variables for any round before December 31 include verifiable implementation steps on sanctions waivers or IAEA access, de-escalation in Hormuz and Lebanon, and whether delegations advance beyond technical channels amid persistent mutual distrust.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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