Recent claims by President Trump of ongoing or imminent US-Iran talks, described as Tehran's "last chance" for a deal, contrast with Iranian denials of direct negotiations and insistence on indirect channels through Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Focus centers on reopening the waterway, lifting sanctions elements, and extending ceasefire terms from the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, amid stalled progress on nuclear issues and asset releases. Mediators including Oman, Qatar, and Pakistan have facilitated indirect messaging and technical discussions, while both sides exchange demands and accusations of violations. With the August 31 deadline approaching, trader views hinge on whether direct or mediated rounds materialize before then, given persistent gaps and reliance on third-party venues.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 अगस्त तक अमेरिका - ईरान शांति वार्ता के एक दौर में कौन शामिल होगा?
$77,056 वॉल्यूम
निक स्टीवर्ट
49%
माजिद तख्त-रावांची
20%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
18%
जारेड कुश्नर
18%
Kazem Gharibabadi
16%
Steve Witkoff
16%
इशाक़ डार
12%
Abbas Araghchi
13%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
11%
जे.डी. वेंस
7%
Esmail Qaani
6%
Rafael Grossi
17%
Pete Hegseth
5%
Masoud Pezeshkian
4%
डोनाल्ड ट्रंप
3%
मार्को रुबियो
3%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
45%
$77,056 वॉल्यूम
निक स्टीवर्ट
49%
माजिद तख्त-रावांची
20%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
18%
जारेड कुश्नर
18%
Kazem Gharibabadi
16%
Steve Witkoff
16%
इशाक़ डार
12%
Abbas Araghchi
13%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
11%
जे.डी. वेंस
7%
Esmail Qaani
6%
Rafael Grossi
17%
Pete Hegseth
5%
Masoud Pezeshkian
4%
डोनाल्ड ट्रंप
3%
मार्को रुबियो
3%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
45%
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent claims by President Trump of ongoing or imminent US-Iran talks, described as Tehran's "last chance" for a deal, contrast with Iranian denials of direct negotiations and insistence on indirect channels through Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Focus centers on reopening the waterway, lifting sanctions elements, and extending ceasefire terms from the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, amid stalled progress on nuclear issues and asset releases. Mediators including Oman, Qatar, and Pakistan have facilitated indirect messaging and technical discussions, while both sides exchange demands and accusations of violations. With the August 31 deadline approaching, trader views hinge on whether direct or mediated rounds materialize before then, given persistent gaps and reliance on third-party venues.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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