Google's commanding 88% market-implied odds stem from Gemini Omni Flash and Veo 3.1 consistently topping Artificial Analysis text-to-video leaderboards with superior Elo scores, prompt adherence, native audio, character consistency, and multimodal editing via the Gemini API and Flow platform. Recent August 2026 updates added 4K upscaling, scene extension, and refined conversational controls, reinforcing its edge over rivals. OpenAI's Sora discontinuation—with its API sunset on September 24—further narrows competition, while Chinese models from ByteDance, MiniMax, and Alibaba deliver strong results on specific benchmarks but trail in overall consensus. Traders are watching for any final model releases or leaderboard shifts before end-of-September resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयागूगल 88%
Luma AI 3.7%
रनवे 3.3%
बाइटडांस 1.3%
$21,457 वॉल्यूम
$21,457 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
गूगल
88%
Luma AI
4%
रनवे
3%
बाइटडांस
1%
मिनीमैक्स
1%
पिक्सवर्स
1%
अलीबाबा/Alibaba-ATH
1%
प्रुना
1%
कांडिंस्की
1%
लाइटट्रिक्स
1%
Genmo AI
1%
पिका
<1%
OpenAI
<1%
KlingAI
<1%
टेनसेंट
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
मेटा
<1%
गूगल 88%
Luma AI 3.7%
रनवे 3.3%
बाइटडांस 1.3%
$21,457 वॉल्यूम
$21,457 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
गूगल
$14,226 वॉल्यूम
88%
Luma AI
$400 वॉल्यूम
4%
रनवे
$547 वॉल्यूम
3%
बाइटडांस
$982 वॉल्यूम
1%
मिनीमैक्स
$645 वॉल्यूम
1%
पिक्सवर्स
$370 वॉल्यूम
1%
अलीबाबा/Alibaba-ATH
$365 वॉल्यूम
1%
प्रुना
$399 वॉल्यूम
1%
कांडिंस्की
$370 वॉल्यूम
1%
लाइटट्रिक्स
$422 वॉल्यूम
1%
Genmo AI
$436 वॉल्यूम
1%
पिका
$453 वॉल्यूम
<1%
OpenAI
$378 वॉल्यूम
<1%
KlingAI
$413 वॉल्यूम
<1%
टेनसेंट
$350 वॉल्यूम
<1%
SpaceXAI
$458 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मेटा
$246 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's commanding 88% market-implied odds stem from Gemini Omni Flash and Veo 3.1 consistently topping Artificial Analysis text-to-video leaderboards with superior Elo scores, prompt adherence, native audio, character consistency, and multimodal editing via the Gemini API and Flow platform. Recent August 2026 updates added 4K upscaling, scene extension, and refined conversational controls, reinforcing its edge over rivals. OpenAI's Sora discontinuation—with its API sunset on September 24—further narrows competition, while Chinese models from ByteDance, MiniMax, and Alibaba deliver strong results on specific benchmarks but trail in overall consensus. Traders are watching for any final model releases or leaderboard shifts before end-of-September resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$21,457समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's commanding 88% market-implied odds stem from Gemini Omni Flash and Veo 3.1 consistently topping Artificial Analysis text-to-video leaderboards with superior Elo scores, prompt adherence, native audio, character consistency, and multimodal editing via the Gemini API and Flow platform. Recent August 2026 updates added 4K upscaling, scene extension, and refined conversational controls, reinforcing its edge over rivals. OpenAI's Sora discontinuation—with its API sunset on September 24—further narrows competition, while Chinese models from ByteDance, MiniMax, and Alibaba deliver strong results on specific benchmarks but trail in overall consensus. Traders are watching for any final model releases or leaderboard shifts before end-of-September resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
वॉल्यूम
$21,457समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Google's commanding 88% market-implied odds stem from Gemini Omni Flash and Veo 3.1 consistently topping Artificial Analysis text-to-video leaderboards with superior Elo scores, prompt adherence, native audio, character consistency, and multimodal editing via the Gemini API and Flow platform. Recent August 2026 updates added 4K upscaling, scene extension, and refined conversational controls, reinforcing its edge over rivals. OpenAI's Sora discontinuation—with its API sunset on September 24—further narrows competition, while Chinese models from ByteDance, MiniMax, and Alibaba deliver strong results on specific benchmarks but trail in overall consensus. Traders are watching for any final model releases or leaderboard shifts before end-of-September resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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