Traders assign Google a 65% implied probability of leading in text-to-video AI by end of October, driven by its consistent model releases and strong performance on quality benchmarks for coherent, high-resolution video generation from text prompts. This positioning reflects competitive advantages in scaling large multimodal systems alongside integration with established platforms. The 50% odds across "Other" and multiple named companies signal a fragmented market where no clear challenger has demonstrated superior capabilities or user adoption. Lower probabilities for OpenAI, ByteDance, and others underscore perceived gaps in recent updates or regulatory hurdles. Key upcoming catalysts include new model benchmarks and developer events that could alter these aggregated trader assessments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयागूगल 66%
बाइटडांस 18%
अलीबाबा/अलीबाबा-ATH 3.3%
मेटा 1.3%
$36,996 वॉल्यूम
$36,996 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2026
गूगल
66%
बाइटडांस
18%
अलीबाबा/अलीबाबा-ATH
3%
मेटा
1%
पिक्सवर्स
1%
KlingAI
<1%
टेनसेंट
<1%
Genmo AI
<1%
प्रुना
<1%
लूमा एआई
<1%
कांडिंस्की
<1%
Lightricks
<1%
पिका
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
रनवे
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
OpenAI
<1%
गूगल 66%
बाइटडांस 18%
अलीबाबा/अलीबाबा-ATH 3.3%
मेटा 1.3%
$36,996 वॉल्यूम
$36,996 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2026
गूगल
$25,055 वॉल्यूम
66%
बाइटडांस
$4,907 वॉल्यूम
18%
अलीबाबा/अलीबाबा-ATH
$772 वॉल्यूम
3%
मेटा
$502 वॉल्यूम
1%
पिक्सवर्स
$426 वॉल्यूम
1%
KlingAI
$578 वॉल्यूम
<1%
टेनसेंट
$466 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Genmo AI
$442 वॉल्यूम
<1%
प्रुना
$341 वॉल्यूम
<1%
लूमा एआई
$508 वॉल्यूम
<1%
कांडिंस्की
$425 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Lightricks
$416 वॉल्यूम
<1%
पिका
$469 वॉल्यूम
<1%
SpaceXAI
$483 वॉल्यूम
<1%
रनवे
$417 वॉल्यूम
<1%
MiniMax
$416 वॉल्यूम
<1%
OpenAI
$373 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders assign Google a 65% implied probability of leading in text-to-video AI by end of October, driven by its consistent model releases and strong performance on quality benchmarks for coherent, high-resolution video generation from text prompts. This positioning reflects competitive advantages in scaling large multimodal systems alongside integration with established platforms. The 50% odds across "Other" and multiple named companies signal a fragmented market where no clear challenger has demonstrated superior capabilities or user adoption. Lower probabilities for OpenAI, ByteDance, and others underscore perceived gaps in recent updates or regulatory hurdles. Key upcoming catalysts include new model benchmarks and developer events that could alter these aggregated trader assessments.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$36,996समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders assign Google a 65% implied probability of leading in text-to-video AI by end of October, driven by its consistent model releases and strong performance on quality benchmarks for coherent, high-resolution video generation from text prompts. This positioning reflects competitive advantages in scaling large multimodal systems alongside integration with established platforms. The 50% odds across "Other" and multiple named companies signal a fragmented market where no clear challenger has demonstrated superior capabilities or user adoption. Lower probabilities for OpenAI, ByteDance, and others underscore perceived gaps in recent updates or regulatory hurdles. Key upcoming catalysts include new model benchmarks and developer events that could alter these aggregated trader assessments.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
वॉल्यूम
$36,996समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign Google a 65% implied probability of leading in text-to-video AI by end of October, driven by its consistent model releases and strong performance on quality benchmarks for coherent, high-resolution video generation from text prompts. This positioning reflects competitive advantages in scaling large multimodal systems alongside integration with established platforms. The 50% odds across "Other" and multiple named companies signal a fragmented market where no clear challenger has demonstrated superior capabilities or user adoption. Lower probabilities for OpenAI, ByteDance, and others underscore perceived gaps in recent updates or regulatory hurdles. Key upcoming catalysts include new model benchmarks and developer events that could alter these aggregated trader assessments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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