Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds at 84.5% for the top LiveBench overall score by end of October 2026, driven by its Claude Fable 5.1 and related variants posting leading scores around 83–84% on recent snapshots. These models demonstrate consistent advantages in reasoning, coding, math, and instruction-following categories against the latest OpenAI GPT-5.6 Sol and GPT-6 Astra entries, which trail by 1–3 points. Trader consensus reflects Anthropic’s recent official releases and verified benchmark leadership through September, with limited time left for competitors to close the gap before resolution. OpenAI sits at just 8.5% amid slightly weaker aggregate results, while all other labs remain below 1% due to lower reported scores and fewer frontier updates in the past month.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAnthropic 85%
OpenAI 10%
SpaceXAI <1%
StepFun <1%
$20,633 वॉल्यूम
$20,633 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2026
Anthropic
85%
OpenAI
10%
SpaceXAI
1%
StepFun
1%
DeepSeek
1%
ByteDance
1%
Moonshot
1%
Nvidia
1%
MiniMax
1%
Mistral
1%
Z.ai
1%
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Meta
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 85%
OpenAI 10%
SpaceXAI <1%
StepFun <1%
$20,633 वॉल्यूम
$20,633 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2026
Anthropic
$9,026 वॉल्यूम
85%
OpenAI
$2,945 वॉल्यूम
10%
SpaceXAI
$443 वॉल्यूम
1%
StepFun
$445 वॉल्यूम
1%
DeepSeek
$435 वॉल्यूम
1%
ByteDance
$492 वॉल्यूम
1%
Moonshot
$465 वॉल्यूम
1%
Nvidia
$498 वॉल्यूम
1%
MiniMax
$471 वॉल्यूम
1%
Mistral
$459 वॉल्यूम
1%
Z.ai
$433 वॉल्यूम
1%
$411 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Alibaba
$386 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Amazon
$481 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Meta
$481 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Baidu
$494 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Tencent
$492 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Thinky
$445 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Xiaomi
$445 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Meituan
$427 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Microsoft
$457 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds at 84.5% for the top LiveBench overall score by end of October 2026, driven by its Claude Fable 5.1 and related variants posting leading scores around 83–84% on recent snapshots. These models demonstrate consistent advantages in reasoning, coding, math, and instruction-following categories against the latest OpenAI GPT-5.6 Sol and GPT-6 Astra entries, which trail by 1–3 points. Trader consensus reflects Anthropic’s recent official releases and verified benchmark leadership through September, with limited time left for competitors to close the gap before resolution. OpenAI sits at just 8.5% amid slightly weaker aggregate results, while all other labs remain below 1% due to lower reported scores and fewer frontier updates in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$20,633समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds at 84.5% for the top LiveBench overall score by end of October 2026, driven by its Claude Fable 5.1 and related variants posting leading scores around 83–84% on recent snapshots. These models demonstrate consistent advantages in reasoning, coding, math, and instruction-following categories against the latest OpenAI GPT-5.6 Sol and GPT-6 Astra entries, which trail by 1–3 points. Trader consensus reflects Anthropic’s recent official releases and verified benchmark leadership through September, with limited time left for competitors to close the gap before resolution. OpenAI sits at just 8.5% amid slightly weaker aggregate results, while all other labs remain below 1% due to lower reported scores and fewer frontier updates in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
वॉल्यूम
$20,633समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds at 84.5% for the top LiveBench overall score by end of October 2026, driven by its Claude Fable 5.1 and related variants posting leading scores around 83–84% on recent snapshots. These models demonstrate consistent advantages in reasoning, coding, math, and instruction-following categories against the latest OpenAI GPT-5.6 Sol and GPT-6 Astra entries, which trail by 1–3 points. Trader consensus reflects Anthropic’s recent official releases and verified benchmark leadership through September, with limited time left for competitors to close the gap before resolution. OpenAI sits at just 8.5% amid slightly weaker aggregate results, while all other labs remain below 1% due to lower reported scores and fewer frontier updates in the past month.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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