Anthropic's recent Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 releases, with strong gains on agentic coding tasks like Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench Verified, underpin the 84.5% market-implied odds for leading LiveBench Coding by end of October. These large language models demonstrate superior performance in contamination-resistant evaluations of code generation and reasoning, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.6 variants despite the latter's overall benchmark edges in prior June 2026 LiveBench snapshots. Traders appear to factor in Anthropic's consistent frontier positioning on practical coding metrics and expected model iterations before the next LiveBench refresh, while lower odds for OpenAI, Google, and Chinese labs like Moonshot or Z.ai reflect narrower leads or less recent specialized updates in this category.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाएंथ्रॉपिक 84%
OpenAI 3.6%
SpaceXAI <1%
डीपसीक <1%
$18,016 वॉल्यूम
$18,016 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2026
एंथ्रॉपिक
84%
OpenAI
4%
SpaceXAI
1%
डीपसीक
1%
मिस्त्राल
<1%
गूगल
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Tencent
<1%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
अमेज़न
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Meituan
<1%
मेटा
<1%
अलीबाबा
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
एंथ्रॉपिक 84%
OpenAI 3.6%
SpaceXAI <1%
डीपसीक <1%
$18,016 वॉल्यूम
$18,016 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2026
एंथ्रॉपिक
$6,400 वॉल्यूम
84%
OpenAI
$2,960 वॉल्यूम
4%
SpaceXAI
$1,081 वॉल्यूम
1%
डीपसीक
$520 वॉल्यूम
1%
मिस्त्राल
$552 वॉल्यूम
<1%
गूगल
$546 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Nvidia
$455 वॉल्यूम
<1%
MiniMax
$424 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Tencent
$297 वॉल्यूम
<1%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
$426 वॉल्यूम
<1%
StepFun
$334 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Baidu
$395 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Z.ai
$507 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Xiaomi
$468 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अमेज़न
$410 वॉल्यूम
<1%
ByteDance
$363 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Thinky
$454 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Meituan
$364 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मेटा
$398 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अलीबाबा
$355 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Moonshot
$310 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic's recent Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 releases, with strong gains on agentic coding tasks like Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench Verified, underpin the 84.5% market-implied odds for leading LiveBench Coding by end of October. These large language models demonstrate superior performance in contamination-resistant evaluations of code generation and reasoning, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.6 variants despite the latter's overall benchmark edges in prior June 2026 LiveBench snapshots. Traders appear to factor in Anthropic's consistent frontier positioning on practical coding metrics and expected model iterations before the next LiveBench refresh, while lower odds for OpenAI, Google, and Chinese labs like Moonshot or Z.ai reflect narrower leads or less recent specialized updates in this category.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,016समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 8:05 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic's recent Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 releases, with strong gains on agentic coding tasks like Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench Verified, underpin the 84.5% market-implied odds for leading LiveBench Coding by end of October. These large language models demonstrate superior performance in contamination-resistant evaluations of code generation and reasoning, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.6 variants despite the latter's overall benchmark edges in prior June 2026 LiveBench snapshots. Traders appear to factor in Anthropic's consistent frontier positioning on practical coding metrics and expected model iterations before the next LiveBench refresh, while lower odds for OpenAI, Google, and Chinese labs like Moonshot or Z.ai reflect narrower leads or less recent specialized updates in this category.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
वॉल्यूम
$18,016समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 8:05 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's recent Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 releases, with strong gains on agentic coding tasks like Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench Verified, underpin the 84.5% market-implied odds for leading LiveBench Coding by end of October. These large language models demonstrate superior performance in contamination-resistant evaluations of code generation and reasoning, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.6 variants despite the latter's overall benchmark edges in prior June 2026 LiveBench snapshots. Traders appear to factor in Anthropic's consistent frontier positioning on practical coding metrics and expected model iterations before the next LiveBench refresh, while lower odds for OpenAI, Google, and Chinese labs like Moonshot or Z.ai reflect narrower leads or less recent specialized updates in this category.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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