Anthropic's recent launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 has driven its strong market-implied lead, with the models topping multiple September 2026 leaderboards in agentic performance, coding benchmarks like Terminal-Bench, and overall composite scores ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and releases from Meta and Google. These updates delivered measurable gains in reasoning, tool use, and efficiency while cutting cache costs, reinforcing trader consensus around sustained frontier positioning through October. Other labs trail in current verified rankings, though rapid iteration across the sector leaves room for shifts before month-end resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAnthropic 76%
OpenAI 16.5%
Meta 4.4%
Google 2.7%
$18,757 वॉल्यूम
$18,757 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2026
Anthropic
76%
OpenAI
17%
Meta
4%
3%
Alibaba
1%
Baidu
1%
Moonshot
1%
Z.ai
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Nvidia
1%
Tencent
1%
Microsoft
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
ByteDance
1%
MiniMax
1%
Meituan
1%
Thinky
1%
StepFun
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 76%
OpenAI 16.5%
Meta 4.4%
Google 2.7%
$18,757 वॉल्यूम
$18,757 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2026
Anthropic
$12,579 वॉल्यूम
76%
OpenAI
$448 वॉल्यूम
17%
Meta
$283 वॉल्यूम
4%
$325 वॉल्यूम
3%
Alibaba
$326 वॉल्यूम
1%
Baidu
$166 वॉल्यूम
1%
Moonshot
$357 वॉल्यूम
1%
Z.ai
$366 वॉल्यूम
1%
DeepSeek
$307 वॉल्यूम
1%
Nvidia
$290 वॉल्यूम
1%
Tencent
$286 वॉल्यूम
1%
Microsoft
$283 वॉल्यूम
1%
SpaceXAI
$247 वॉल्यूम
1%
ByteDance
$302 वॉल्यूम
1%
MiniMax
$328 वॉल्यूम
1%
Meituan
$286 वॉल्यूम
1%
Thinky
$294 वॉल्यूम
1%
StepFun
$287 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Xiaomi
$422 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Amazon
$290 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Mistral
$287 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's recent launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 has driven its strong market-implied lead, with the models topping multiple September 2026 leaderboards in agentic performance, coding benchmarks like Terminal-Bench, and overall composite scores ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and releases from Meta and Google. These updates delivered measurable gains in reasoning, tool use, and efficiency while cutting cache costs, reinforcing trader consensus around sustained frontier positioning through October. Other labs trail in current verified rankings, though rapid iteration across the sector leaves room for shifts before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,757समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's recent launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 has driven its strong market-implied lead, with the models topping multiple September 2026 leaderboards in agentic performance, coding benchmarks like Terminal-Bench, and overall composite scores ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and releases from Meta and Google. These updates delivered measurable gains in reasoning, tool use, and efficiency while cutting cache costs, reinforcing trader consensus around sustained frontier positioning through October. Other labs trail in current verified rankings, though rapid iteration across the sector leaves room for shifts before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
वॉल्यूम
$18,757समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's recent launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 has driven its strong market-implied lead, with the models topping multiple September 2026 leaderboards in agentic performance, coding benchmarks like Terminal-Bench, and overall composite scores ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and releases from Meta and Google. These updates delivered measurable gains in reasoning, tool use, and efficiency while cutting cache costs, reinforcing trader consensus around sustained frontier positioning through October. Other labs trail in current verified rankings, though rapid iteration across the sector leaves room for shifts before month-end resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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