Recent data showing median sale prices in the Austin metro area clustering between $435,000 and $450,000 through July 2026, down from pandemic peaks amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.5-7%, supports the 80% implied probability on the sub-$446K outcome. Trader consensus reflects sustained downward pressure from elevated inventory following pandemic-era overbuilding, rising homeowner insurance costs, and moderating migration inflows, which have extended days on market and reduced bidding intensity. These dynamics have produced year-over-year price declines of 3-4% across Zillow and Redfin metrics, with limited catalysts expected before the September 30 resolution to shift values into higher brackets.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया<$446K 75%
$446K - $454K 17%
$454K - $462K 6%
$470K - $478K 4.9%
$58,637 वॉल्यूम
$58,637 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
<$446K
76%
$446K - $454K
17%
$454K - $462K
6%
$462K - $470K
4%
$470K - $478K
5%
$478K - $486K
1%
$486K+
1%
<$446K 75%
$446K - $454K 17%
$454K - $462K 6%
$470K - $478K 4.9%
$58,637 वॉल्यूम
$58,637 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
<$446K
$12,388 वॉल्यूम
76%
$446K - $454K
$13,958 वॉल्यूम
17%
$454K - $462K
$5,543 वॉल्यूम
6%
$462K - $470K
$4,436 वॉल्यूम
4%
$470K - $478K
$11,228 वॉल्यूम
5%
$478K - $486K
$3,094 वॉल्यूम
1%
$486K+
$7,990 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)Recent data showing median sale prices in the Austin metro area clustering between $435,000 and $450,000 through July 2026, down from pandemic peaks amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.5-7%, supports the 80% implied probability on the sub-$446K outcome. Trader consensus reflects sustained downward pressure from elevated inventory following pandemic-era overbuilding, rising homeowner insurance costs, and moderating migration inflows, which have extended days on market and reduced bidding intensity. These dynamics have produced year-over-year price declines of 3-4% across Zillow and Redfin metrics, with limited catalysts expected before the September 30 resolution to shift values into higher brackets.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$58,637समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)Recent data showing median sale prices in the Austin metro area clustering between $435,000 and $450,000 through July 2026, down from pandemic peaks amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.5-7%, supports the 80% implied probability on the sub-$446K outcome. Trader consensus reflects sustained downward pressure from elevated inventory following pandemic-era overbuilding, rising homeowner insurance costs, and moderating migration inflows, which have extended days on market and reduced bidding intensity. These dynamics have produced year-over-year price declines of 3-4% across Zillow and Redfin metrics, with limited catalysts expected before the September 30 resolution to shift values into higher brackets.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
वॉल्यूम
$58,637समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent data showing median sale prices in the Austin metro area clustering between $435,000 and $450,000 through July 2026, down from pandemic peaks amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.5-7%, supports the 80% implied probability on the sub-$446K outcome. Trader consensus reflects sustained downward pressure from elevated inventory following pandemic-era overbuilding, rising homeowner insurance costs, and moderating migration inflows, which have extended days on market and reduced bidding intensity. These dynamics have produced year-over-year price declines of 3-4% across Zillow and Redfin metrics, with limited catalysts expected before the September 30 resolution to shift values into higher brackets.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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