The 10-year Treasury yield surged in March 2026 to multi-month highs above 4.4%, driven by inflation pressures from U.S.-Iran tensions, elevated oil prices, and sticky economic data that diminished Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations. Yields have since stabilized near 4.3% in early April, dipping to 4.25% by April 17 amid calmer geopolitical signals, including extensions of Iran deal deadlines. With half of April remaining, traders monitor upcoming CPI and PPI releases, alongside the April 28-29 FOMC meeting—where March minutes revealed some officials' openness to rate hikes amid war-related oil shocks—for catalysts that could push yields higher or spark a relief rally. The yield curve's recent steepening reflects resilient growth offsetting recession fears.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानया
30 अप्रैल, 2026
↑4.60%
3%
↑4.50%
7%
↑4.45%
9%
↑4.40%
14%
↓4.25%
57%
↓4.20%
42%
↓4.15%
40%
↓4.10%
14%
↓4.00%
4%
$9,969 वॉल्यूम
↑4.60%
$1,495 वॉल्यूम
3%
↑4.50%
$365 वॉल्यूम
7%
↑4.45%
$3,875 वॉल्यूम
9%
↑4.40%
$1,898 वॉल्यूम
14%
↓4.25%
$104 वॉल्यूम
57%
↓4.20%
$0 वॉल्यूम
42%
↓4.15%
$631 वॉल्यूम
40%
↓4.10%
$12 वॉल्यूम
14%
↓4.00%
$1,077 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or above the listed value for any day in April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or above the listed value, or once the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate has been published for the final relevant day in April, and the listed value has not been reached.
Revisions made prior to the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant day in April will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from counting. Revisions or corrections made after the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant date in April will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" at https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202604.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or below the listed value for any day in April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or below the listed value, or once the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate has been published for the final relevant day in April, and the listed value has not been reached.
Revisions made prior to the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant day in April will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from counting. Revisions or corrections made after the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant date in April will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" at https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202604.The 10-year Treasury yield surged in March 2026 to multi-month highs above 4.4%, driven by inflation pressures from U.S.-Iran tensions, elevated oil prices, and sticky economic data that diminished Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations. Yields have since stabilized near 4.3% in early April, dipping to 4.25% by April 17 amid calmer geopolitical signals, including extensions of Iran deal deadlines. With half of April remaining, traders monitor upcoming CPI and PPI releases, alongside the April 28-29 FOMC meeting—where March minutes revealed some officials' openness to rate hikes amid war-related oil shocks—for catalysts that could push yields higher or spark a relief rally. The yield curve's recent steepening reflects resilient growth offsetting recession fears.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or above the listed value for any day in April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or above the listed value, or once the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate has been published for the final relevant day in April, and the listed value has not been reached.
Revisions made prior to the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant day in April will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from counting. Revisions or corrections made after the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant date in April will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" at https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202604.
This market will resolve as soon as the Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or above the listed value, or once the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate has been published for the final relevant day in April, and the listed value has not been reached.
Revisions made prior to the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant day in April will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from counting. Revisions or corrections made after the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant date in April will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" at https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202604.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 2, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,969समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 2, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or above the listed value for any day in April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or above the listed value, or once the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate has been published for the final relevant day in April, and the listed value has not been reached.
Revisions made prior to the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant day in April will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from counting. Revisions or corrections made after the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant date in April will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" at https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202604.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or below the listed value for any day in April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or below the listed value, or once the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate has been published for the final relevant day in April, and the listed value has not been reached.
Revisions made prior to the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant day in April will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from counting. Revisions or corrections made after the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant date in April will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" at https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202604.The 10-year Treasury yield surged in March 2026 to multi-month highs above 4.4%, driven by inflation pressures from U.S.-Iran tensions, elevated oil prices, and sticky economic data that diminished Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations. Yields have since stabilized near 4.3% in early April, dipping to 4.25% by April 17 amid calmer geopolitical signals, including extensions of Iran deal deadlines. With half of April remaining, traders monitor upcoming CPI and PPI releases, alongside the April 28-29 FOMC meeting—where March minutes revealed some officials' openness to rate hikes amid war-related oil shocks—for catalysts that could push yields higher or spark a relief rally. The yield curve's recent steepening reflects resilient growth offsetting recession fears.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or above the listed value for any day in April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or above the listed value, or once the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate has been published for the final relevant day in April, and the listed value has not been reached.
Revisions made prior to the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant day in April will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from counting. Revisions or corrections made after the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant date in April will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" at https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202604.
This market will resolve as soon as the Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or above the listed value, or once the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate has been published for the final relevant day in April, and the listed value has not been reached.
Revisions made prior to the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant day in April will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from counting. Revisions or corrections made after the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant date in April will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" at https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202604.
वॉल्यूम
$9,969समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 2, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield surged in March 2026 to multi-month highs above 4.4%, driven by inflation pressures from U.S.-Iran tensions, elevated oil prices, and sticky economic data that diminished Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations. Yields have since stabilized near 4.3% in early April, dipping to 4.25% by April 17 amid calmer geopolitical signals, including extensions of Iran deal deadlines. With half of April remaining, traders monitor upcoming CPI and PPI releases, alongside the April 28-29 FOMC meeting—where March minutes revealed some officials' openness to rate hikes amid war-related oil shocks—for catalysts that could push yields higher or spark a relief rally. The yield curve's recent steepening reflects resilient growth offsetting recession fears.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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