Hungary’s new government under Prime Minister Péter Magyar has advanced anti-corruption probes into the Orbán era, lifting parliamentary immunity and detaining two former ministers—Balázs Hankó and Miklós Seszták—on separate allegations of misusing public funds and accepting bribes. These actions, part of a broader “cleansing fire” effort targeting networks from Viktor Orbán’s 16-year tenure, have not extended to personal charges or detention against the former prime minister himself, who now leads the opposition Fidesz party after his April 2026 election defeat. Related inquiries, including scrutiny of decisions like the 2026 Ukrainian convoy case, remain focused on associates or procedural matters without producing arrest warrants. Traders’ strong consensus on no arrest by year-end reflects the procedural hurdles, Orbán’s current opposition status, and the absence of imminent legal triggers in the ongoing investigations.