Molly Gray holds a commanding lead in Vermont’s November 3 lieutenant governor race, driven by recent polling that shows her ahead of Republican incumbent John Rodgers by double digits in the final month before Election Day. Gray’s prior service in the role from 2021 to 2023, her decisive August Democratic primary win, and emphasis on lowering healthcare, housing, and property-tax costs have strengthened her position among likely voters. Rodgers, a former Democratic legislator who switched parties and won the office in 2024, has focused on constituent services and rural priorities but trails in surveys. While Gray’s frontrunner status reflects current polling averages and name recognition, late developments such as turnout shifts, debate performances, or external events could still narrow the gap in this closely watched contest.