Redistricting has transformed Utah’s 1st Congressional District into a more Democratic-leaning seat, prompting the Republican incumbent to seek election elsewhere and leaving an open contest. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 82 percent implied probability, reflecting the district’s new composition and the competitive Democratic primary field advancing to a June 23 vote. Recent developments include a May 27 debate among Democratic contenders focused on data centers, housing, and the Great Salt Lake, alongside Ben McAdams leading early fundraising. The Republican nominee faces a structurally challenging general-election environment on November 3, with limited recent shifts altering the consensus positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाUT -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
UT -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$27,257 वॉल्यूम
$27,257 वॉल्यूम
4 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
82%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
10%
$27,257 वॉल्यूम
$27,257 वॉल्यूम
4 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$1,450 वॉल्यूम
82%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$25,807 वॉल्यूम
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has transformed Utah’s 1st Congressional District into a more Democratic-leaning seat, prompting the Republican incumbent to seek election elsewhere and leaving an open contest. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 82 percent implied probability, reflecting the district’s new composition and the competitive Democratic primary field advancing to a June 23 vote. Recent developments include a May 27 debate among Democratic contenders focused on data centers, housing, and the Great Salt Lake, alongside Ben McAdams leading early fundraising. The Republican nominee faces a structurally challenging general-election environment on November 3, with limited recent shifts altering the consensus positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$27,257समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has transformed Utah’s 1st Congressional District into a more Democratic-leaning seat, prompting the Republican incumbent to seek election elsewhere and leaving an open contest. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 82 percent implied probability, reflecting the district’s new composition and the competitive Democratic primary field advancing to a June 23 vote. Recent developments include a May 27 debate among Democratic contenders focused on data centers, housing, and the Great Salt Lake, alongside Ben McAdams leading early fundraising. The Republican nominee faces a structurally challenging general-election environment on November 3, with limited recent shifts altering the consensus positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$27,257समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has transformed Utah’s 1st Congressional District into a more Democratic-leaning seat, prompting the Republican incumbent to seek election elsewhere and leaving an open contest. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 82 percent implied probability, reflecting the district’s new composition and the competitive Democratic primary field advancing to a June 23 vote. Recent developments include a May 27 debate among Democratic contenders focused on data centers, housing, and the Great Salt Lake, alongside Ben McAdams leading early fundraising. The Republican nominee faces a structurally challenging general-election environment on November 3, with limited recent shifts altering the consensus positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न