Utah's 1st congressional district was redrawn after the 2024 cycle into a more Democratic-leaning seat, creating an open race after incumbent Republican Blake Moore shifted to the 2nd district. This structural change underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic general election winner. Riley Owen secured the Republican nomination at the state convention, while four Democrats—former Representative Ben McAdams, state Senator Nate Blouin, Liban Mohamed, and Michael Farrell—remain in a June 23 primary that will set the final matchup. Recent candidate debates have focused on data center policy and local issues without shifting the overall outlook. The November 3 general election timeline and the district's updated partisan balance continue to anchor current probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाUT -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
UT -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$27,257 वॉल्यूम
$27,257 वॉल्यूम
4 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
74%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
8%
$27,257 वॉल्यूम
$27,257 वॉल्यूम
4 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$1,450 वॉल्यूम
74%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$25,807 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 1st congressional district was redrawn after the 2024 cycle into a more Democratic-leaning seat, creating an open race after incumbent Republican Blake Moore shifted to the 2nd district. This structural change underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic general election winner. Riley Owen secured the Republican nomination at the state convention, while four Democrats—former Representative Ben McAdams, state Senator Nate Blouin, Liban Mohamed, and Michael Farrell—remain in a June 23 primary that will set the final matchup. Recent candidate debates have focused on data center policy and local issues without shifting the overall outlook. The November 3 general election timeline and the district's updated partisan balance continue to anchor current probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$27,257समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 1st congressional district was redrawn after the 2024 cycle into a more Democratic-leaning seat, creating an open race after incumbent Republican Blake Moore shifted to the 2nd district. This structural change underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic general election winner. Riley Owen secured the Republican nomination at the state convention, while four Democrats—former Representative Ben McAdams, state Senator Nate Blouin, Liban Mohamed, and Michael Farrell—remain in a June 23 primary that will set the final matchup. Recent candidate debates have focused on data center policy and local issues without shifting the overall outlook. The November 3 general election timeline and the district's updated partisan balance continue to anchor current probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$27,257समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 1st congressional district was redrawn after the 2024 cycle into a more Democratic-leaning seat, creating an open race after incumbent Republican Blake Moore shifted to the 2nd district. This structural change underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic general election winner. Riley Owen secured the Republican nomination at the state convention, while four Democrats—former Representative Ben McAdams, state Senator Nate Blouin, Liban Mohamed, and Michael Farrell—remain in a June 23 primary that will set the final matchup. Recent candidate debates have focused on data center policy and local issues without shifting the overall outlook. The November 3 general election timeline and the district's updated partisan balance continue to anchor current probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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