The June 2026 Commerce Department export control directive briefly forced Anthropic to suspend public access to its Fable 5 and Mythos 5 large language models over national security concerns, but the restrictions were fully lifted by late June with no further actions reported through mid-August. Traders assign the "No" outcome 79.5% implied probability because the incident was resolved quickly without establishing a lasting precedent for repeated interventions, and recent developments show no new regulatory filings, executive orders, or credible reports signaling additional removals for other Anthropic AI models this year. Ongoing tensions between the company and the Trump administration remain, yet the absence of fresh catalysts supports market consensus that another public access removal is unlikely before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअमेरिकी सरकार ने 2026 में एक और एंथ्रोपिक AI मॉडल तक सार्वजनिक पहुंच को हटा दिया है?
अमेरिकी सरकार ने 2026 में एक और एंथ्रोपिक AI मॉडल तक सार्वजनिक पहुंच को हटा दिया है?
हाँ
21% संभावना
$26,149 वॉल्यूम
$26,149 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
21% संभावना
$26,149 वॉल्यूम
$26,149 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market resolves "Yes" if the US federal government passes legislation, issues an executive order, issues an export control, or takes any other formal action that has the effect of generally removing public access within the US to an Anthropic AI model, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
A qualifying action is a formal US government action that has the effect of a general removal of public access to a previously publicly available Anthropic AI model within the US. Such an action qualifies, regardless of its stated purpose or nominal target. An action directed at other parties qualifies if, in effect, it causes a general removal of public access to the model within the US (e.g., a ban on the provision of models to foreign citizens or governments would qualify if, due to the ban, Anthropic removes public access to the model within the US). A general removal of public access to an Anthropic AI model qualifies even if it does not apply to limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms or individuals with security clearance). To qualify, ordinary public access to the model must be eliminated across ordinary public channels within the US; removal from a single channel is not sufficient. Removals of general public access not caused by any formal US government action will not qualify.
The action may target a single model or a slate of models, so long as at least one Anthropic AI model is generally removed from public access within the US as a result of the action.
The removal of access for any amount of time qualifies. An action that has been enacted or issued, but which has not effected the removal of general public access to an Anthropic AI model by the resolution date, will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market is official information and announcements from the United States government and Anthropic. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The June 2026 Commerce Department export control directive briefly forced Anthropic to suspend public access to its Fable 5 and Mythos 5 large language models over national security concerns, but the restrictions were fully lifted by late June with no further actions reported through mid-August. Traders assign the "No" outcome 79.5% implied probability because the incident was resolved quickly without establishing a lasting precedent for repeated interventions, and recent developments show no new regulatory filings, executive orders, or credible reports signaling additional removals for other Anthropic AI models this year. Ongoing tensions between the company and the Trump administration remain, yet the absence of fresh catalysts supports market consensus that another public access removal is unlikely before year-end.
This market resolves "Yes" if the US federal government passes legislation, issues an executive order, issues an export control, or takes any other formal action that has the effect of generally removing public access within the US to an Anthropic AI model, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
A qualifying action is a formal US government action that has the effect of a general removal of public access to a previously publicly available Anthropic AI model within the US. Such an action qualifies, regardless of its stated purpose or nominal target. An action directed at other parties qualifies if, in effect, it causes a general removal of public access to the model within the US (e.g., a ban on the provision of models to foreign citizens or governments would qualify if, due to the ban, Anthropic removes public access to the model within the US). A general removal of public access to an Anthropic AI model qualifies even if it does not apply to limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms or individuals with security clearance). To qualify, ordinary public access to the model must be eliminated across ordinary public channels within the US; removal from a single channel is not sufficient. Removals of general public access not caused by any formal US government action will not qualify.
The action may target a single model or a slate of models, so long as at least one Anthropic AI model is generally removed from public access within the US as a result of the action.
The removal of access for any amount of time qualifies. An action that has been enacted or issued, but which has not effected the removal of general public access to an Anthropic AI model by the resolution date, will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market is official information and announcements from the United States government and Anthropic. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying action is a formal US government action that has the effect of a general removal of public access to a previously publicly available Anthropic AI model within the US. Such an action qualifies, regardless of its stated purpose or nominal target. An action directed at other parties qualifies if, in effect, it causes a general removal of public access to the model within the US (e.g., a ban on the provision of models to foreign citizens or governments would qualify if, due to the ban, Anthropic removes public access to the model within the US). A general removal of public access to an Anthropic AI model qualifies even if it does not apply to limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms or individuals with security clearance). To qualify, ordinary public access to the model must be eliminated across ordinary public channels within the US; removal from a single channel is not sufficient. Removals of general public access not caused by any formal US government action will not qualify.
The action may target a single model or a slate of models, so long as at least one Anthropic AI model is generally removed from public access within the US as a result of the action.
The removal of access for any amount of time qualifies. An action that has been enacted or issued, but which has not effected the removal of general public access to an Anthropic AI model by the resolution date, will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market is official information and announcements from the United States government and Anthropic. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 3, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$26,149समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 3, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market resolves "Yes" if the US federal government passes legislation, issues an executive order, issues an export control, or takes any other formal action that has the effect of generally removing public access within the US to an Anthropic AI model, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
A qualifying action is a formal US government action that has the effect of a general removal of public access to a previously publicly available Anthropic AI model within the US. Such an action qualifies, regardless of its stated purpose or nominal target. An action directed at other parties qualifies if, in effect, it causes a general removal of public access to the model within the US (e.g., a ban on the provision of models to foreign citizens or governments would qualify if, due to the ban, Anthropic removes public access to the model within the US). A general removal of public access to an Anthropic AI model qualifies even if it does not apply to limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms or individuals with security clearance). To qualify, ordinary public access to the model must be eliminated across ordinary public channels within the US; removal from a single channel is not sufficient. Removals of general public access not caused by any formal US government action will not qualify.
The action may target a single model or a slate of models, so long as at least one Anthropic AI model is generally removed from public access within the US as a result of the action.
The removal of access for any amount of time qualifies. An action that has been enacted or issued, but which has not effected the removal of general public access to an Anthropic AI model by the resolution date, will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market is official information and announcements from the United States government and Anthropic. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The June 2026 Commerce Department export control directive briefly forced Anthropic to suspend public access to its Fable 5 and Mythos 5 large language models over national security concerns, but the restrictions were fully lifted by late June with no further actions reported through mid-August. Traders assign the "No" outcome 79.5% implied probability because the incident was resolved quickly without establishing a lasting precedent for repeated interventions, and recent developments show no new regulatory filings, executive orders, or credible reports signaling additional removals for other Anthropic AI models this year. Ongoing tensions between the company and the Trump administration remain, yet the absence of fresh catalysts supports market consensus that another public access removal is unlikely before year-end.
This market resolves "Yes" if the US federal government passes legislation, issues an executive order, issues an export control, or takes any other formal action that has the effect of generally removing public access within the US to an Anthropic AI model, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
A qualifying action is a formal US government action that has the effect of a general removal of public access to a previously publicly available Anthropic AI model within the US. Such an action qualifies, regardless of its stated purpose or nominal target. An action directed at other parties qualifies if, in effect, it causes a general removal of public access to the model within the US (e.g., a ban on the provision of models to foreign citizens or governments would qualify if, due to the ban, Anthropic removes public access to the model within the US). A general removal of public access to an Anthropic AI model qualifies even if it does not apply to limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms or individuals with security clearance). To qualify, ordinary public access to the model must be eliminated across ordinary public channels within the US; removal from a single channel is not sufficient. Removals of general public access not caused by any formal US government action will not qualify.
The action may target a single model or a slate of models, so long as at least one Anthropic AI model is generally removed from public access within the US as a result of the action.
The removal of access for any amount of time qualifies. An action that has been enacted or issued, but which has not effected the removal of general public access to an Anthropic AI model by the resolution date, will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market is official information and announcements from the United States government and Anthropic. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying action is a formal US government action that has the effect of a general removal of public access to a previously publicly available Anthropic AI model within the US. Such an action qualifies, regardless of its stated purpose or nominal target. An action directed at other parties qualifies if, in effect, it causes a general removal of public access to the model within the US (e.g., a ban on the provision of models to foreign citizens or governments would qualify if, due to the ban, Anthropic removes public access to the model within the US). A general removal of public access to an Anthropic AI model qualifies even if it does not apply to limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms or individuals with security clearance). To qualify, ordinary public access to the model must be eliminated across ordinary public channels within the US; removal from a single channel is not sufficient. Removals of general public access not caused by any formal US government action will not qualify.
The action may target a single model or a slate of models, so long as at least one Anthropic AI model is generally removed from public access within the US as a result of the action.
The removal of access for any amount of time qualifies. An action that has been enacted or issued, but which has not effected the removal of general public access to an Anthropic AI model by the resolution date, will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market is official information and announcements from the United States government and Anthropic. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$26,149समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 3, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The June 2026 Commerce Department export control directive briefly forced Anthropic to suspend public access to its Fable 5 and Mythos 5 large language models over national security concerns, but the restrictions were fully lifted by late June with no further actions reported through mid-August. Traders assign the "No" outcome 79.5% implied probability because the incident was resolved quickly without establishing a lasting precedent for repeated interventions, and recent developments show no new regulatory filings, executive orders, or credible reports signaling additional removals for other Anthropic AI models this year. Ongoing tensions between the company and the Trump administration remain, yet the absence of fresh catalysts supports market consensus that another public access removal is unlikely before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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