Despite a partial ordered departure of non-emergency U.S. personnel from the Beirut embassy in February amid Israel-Hezbollah border clashes and Iranian proxy threats, core diplomatic staff have maintained limited operations, including emergency passport services, through recent security alerts as late as April 3. A U.S.-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, effective April 16, has held without major violations, easing immediate escalation risks and reinforcing trader consensus at 98.4% against full evacuation by April 30. High confidence stems from the absence of State Department directives for complete withdrawal and stable embassy functionality, though a ceasefire collapse, renewed airstrikes, or direct attacks on U.S. assets could prompt rapid reversal.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?
$14,855 वॉल्यूम
$14,855 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
$14,855 वॉल्यूम
$14,855 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Despite a partial ordered departure of non-emergency U.S. personnel from the Beirut embassy in February amid Israel-Hezbollah border clashes and Iranian proxy threats, core diplomatic staff have maintained limited operations, including emergency passport services, through recent security alerts as late as April 3. A U.S.-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, effective April 16, has held without major violations, easing immediate escalation risks and reinforcing trader consensus at 98.4% against full evacuation by April 30. High confidence stems from the absence of State Department directives for complete withdrawal and stable embassy functionality, though a ceasefire collapse, renewed airstrikes, or direct attacks on U.S. assets could prompt rapid reversal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,855समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Despite a partial ordered departure of non-emergency U.S. personnel from the Beirut embassy in February amid Israel-Hezbollah border clashes and Iranian proxy threats, core diplomatic staff have maintained limited operations, including emergency passport services, through recent security alerts as late as April 3. A U.S.-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, effective April 16, has held without major violations, easing immediate escalation risks and reinforcing trader consensus at 98.4% against full evacuation by April 30. High confidence stems from the absence of State Department directives for complete withdrawal and stable embassy functionality, though a ceasefire collapse, renewed airstrikes, or direct attacks on U.S. assets could prompt rapid reversal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
वॉल्यूम
$14,855समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite a partial ordered departure of non-emergency U.S. personnel from the Beirut embassy in February amid Israel-Hezbollah border clashes and Iranian proxy threats, core diplomatic staff have maintained limited operations, including emergency passport services, through recent security alerts as late as April 3. A U.S.-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, effective April 16, has held without major violations, easing immediate escalation risks and reinforcing trader consensus at 98.4% against full evacuation by April 30. High confidence stems from the absence of State Department directives for complete withdrawal and stable embassy functionality, though a ceasefire collapse, renewed airstrikes, or direct attacks on U.S. assets could prompt rapid reversal.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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