Recent polls ahead of Spain’s snap general election on November 29 show the PP and Vox consistently projected to secure 198–205 seats in the 350-seat Congress, well above the 176 needed for an absolute majority. This positioning stems from Vox roughly doubling its 2023 seat total amid rising support, while the PP maintains a lead despite modest declines, and the PSOE along with allied left parties lose ground. The election call followed parliamentary defeats on housing measures and regional tensions, prompting a rapid shift in campaign dynamics that has reinforced trader expectations of a right-leaning parliamentary outcome.