Recent polls ahead of Spain’s November 29 snap general election show the PP and Vox consistently projected to secure 190–205 seats in the 350-seat Congress, well above the 176-seat threshold for an absolute majority. Multiple surveys from 40dB, Sigma Dos, SocioMétrica, and others place the combined right-wing bloc at roughly 50–52% of the vote, driven by PP support near 32% and Vox gains to around 19%, including shifts from former left-leaning voters. The PSOE trails at 25–30% with its allies fragmented after hard-left parties failed to unify, limiting the governing bloc to well below majority thresholds. These patterns have held steady since the October dissolution of parliament, underpinning the strong trader consensus on a PP–Vox parliamentary majority.