Trader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market prices "No" at a 98.3% implied probability, reflecting the March 31, 2026, deadline's passage without all required critical incidents across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare. While AWS logged "disrupted" severity interruptions in US-East-1 on its Health Dashboard, Discord's March voice and messaging issues were classified only as "Major" (orange) on discordstatus.com, and Cloudflare's status page reported no resolved "Critical" (red) events. This conjunctive failure—demanding simultaneous high-severity outages from diversified cloud providers—drives near-certain "No" positioning amid their typical 99.99% uptime. Realistic risks include rare oracle disputes over retroactive severity revisions, though administrative resolution looms as services remain stable post-deadline, including AWS's recent May 7 thermal event in US-East-1 that fell outside the window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$14,299 वॉल्यूम
$14,299 वॉल्यूम
31 मार्च, 2026
हाँ
$14,299 वॉल्यूम
$14,299 वॉल्यूम
31 मार्च, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market prices "No" at a 98.3% implied probability, reflecting the March 31, 2026, deadline's passage without all required critical incidents across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare. While AWS logged "disrupted" severity interruptions in US-East-1 on its Health Dashboard, Discord's March voice and messaging issues were classified only as "Major" (orange) on discordstatus.com, and Cloudflare's status page reported no resolved "Critical" (red) events. This conjunctive failure—demanding simultaneous high-severity outages from diversified cloud providers—drives near-certain "No" positioning amid their typical 99.99% uptime. Realistic risks include rare oracle disputes over retroactive severity revisions, though administrative resolution looms as services remain stable post-deadline, including AWS's recent May 7 thermal event in US-East-1 that fell outside the window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,299समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market prices "No" at a 98.3% implied probability, reflecting the March 31, 2026, deadline's passage without all required critical incidents across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare. While AWS logged "disrupted" severity interruptions in US-East-1 on its Health Dashboard, Discord's March voice and messaging issues were classified only as "Major" (orange) on discordstatus.com, and Cloudflare's status page reported no resolved "Critical" (red) events. This conjunctive failure—demanding simultaneous high-severity outages from diversified cloud providers—drives near-certain "No" positioning amid their typical 99.99% uptime. Realistic risks include rare oracle disputes over retroactive severity revisions, though administrative resolution looms as services remain stable post-deadline, including AWS's recent May 7 thermal event in US-East-1 that fell outside the window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
वॉल्यूम
$14,299समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market prices "No" at a 98.3% implied probability, reflecting the March 31, 2026, deadline's passage without all required critical incidents across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare. While AWS logged "disrupted" severity interruptions in US-East-1 on its Health Dashboard, Discord's March voice and messaging issues were classified only as "Major" (orange) on discordstatus.com, and Cloudflare's status page reported no resolved "Critical" (red) events. This conjunctive failure—demanding simultaneous high-severity outages from diversified cloud providers—drives near-certain "No" positioning amid their typical 99.99% uptime. Realistic risks include rare oracle disputes over retroactive severity revisions, though administrative resolution looms as services remain stable post-deadline, including AWS's recent May 7 thermal event in US-East-1 that fell outside the window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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