OpenAI holds the highest implied probability at 43% to finish as the second-best Text Arena Math lab by end of October, ahead of Anthropic at 27% and Google at 25.5%, reflecting tight trader consensus on a closely contested field. Anthropic’s Claude family, including claude-fable-5 and Opus variants, currently dominates the arena.ai Text Arena Math Elo leaderboard with scores above 1520, creating a wide gap at the top. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 and related releases demonstrate competitive math reasoning on benchmarks like MATH and AIME, supported by rapid iteration and strong performance in recent model drops. Google’s Gemini 3.x Flash and Pro variants sit just behind in Arena rankings, while Chinese labs trail further. With new releases expected before October’s close, any shift in relative Elo gains or leaderboard volatility could quickly alter these market-implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाOpenAI 43%
Anthropic 27%
Google 26%
अलीबाबा 5%
$48,387 वॉल्यूम
$48,387 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2026
OpenAI
43%
Anthropic
27%
26%
अलीबाबा
5%
Baidu
2%
Z.ai
2%
मूनशॉट
1%
DeepSeek
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
मेटा
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Meituan
1%
बाइटडांस
1%
StepFun
<1%
Amazon
<1%
टेनसेंट
<1%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
मिस्टरल
<1%
OpenAI 43%
Anthropic 27%
Google 26%
अलीबाबा 5%
$48,387 वॉल्यूम
$48,387 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2026
OpenAI
$3,111 वॉल्यूम
43%
Anthropic
$3,256 वॉल्यूम
27%
$31,755 वॉल्यूम
26%
अलीबाबा
$1,275 वॉल्यूम
5%
Baidu
$531 वॉल्यूम
2%
Z.ai
$623 वॉल्यूम
2%
मूनशॉट
$526 वॉल्यूम
1%
DeepSeek
$580 वॉल्यूम
1%
SpaceXAI
$522 वॉल्यूम
1%
मेटा
$536 वॉल्यूम
1%
Xiaomi
$523 वॉल्यूम
1%
Meituan
$874 वॉल्यूम
1%
बाइटडांस
$591 वॉल्यूम
1%
StepFun
$576 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Amazon
$588 वॉल्यूम
<1%
टेनसेंट
$573 वॉल्यूम
<1%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
$722 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Nvidia
$521 वॉल्यूम
<1%
MiniMax
$370 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मिस्टरल
$336 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI holds the highest implied probability at 43% to finish as the second-best Text Arena Math lab by end of October, ahead of Anthropic at 27% and Google at 25.5%, reflecting tight trader consensus on a closely contested field. Anthropic’s Claude family, including claude-fable-5 and Opus variants, currently dominates the arena.ai Text Arena Math Elo leaderboard with scores above 1520, creating a wide gap at the top. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 and related releases demonstrate competitive math reasoning on benchmarks like MATH and AIME, supported by rapid iteration and strong performance in recent model drops. Google’s Gemini 3.x Flash and Pro variants sit just behind in Arena rankings, while Chinese labs trail further. With new releases expected before October’s close, any shift in relative Elo gains or leaderboard volatility could quickly alter these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$48,387समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI holds the highest implied probability at 43% to finish as the second-best Text Arena Math lab by end of October, ahead of Anthropic at 27% and Google at 25.5%, reflecting tight trader consensus on a closely contested field. Anthropic’s Claude family, including claude-fable-5 and Opus variants, currently dominates the arena.ai Text Arena Math Elo leaderboard with scores above 1520, creating a wide gap at the top. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 and related releases demonstrate competitive math reasoning on benchmarks like MATH and AIME, supported by rapid iteration and strong performance in recent model drops. Google’s Gemini 3.x Flash and Pro variants sit just behind in Arena rankings, while Chinese labs trail further. With new releases expected before October’s close, any shift in relative Elo gains or leaderboard volatility could quickly alter these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
वॉल्यूम
$48,387समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI holds the highest implied probability at 43% to finish as the second-best Text Arena Math lab by end of October, ahead of Anthropic at 27% and Google at 25.5%, reflecting tight trader consensus on a closely contested field. Anthropic’s Claude family, including claude-fable-5 and Opus variants, currently dominates the arena.ai Text Arena Math Elo leaderboard with scores above 1520, creating a wide gap at the top. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 and related releases demonstrate competitive math reasoning on benchmarks like MATH and AIME, supported by rapid iteration and strong performance in recent model drops. Google’s Gemini 3.x Flash and Pro variants sit just behind in Arena rankings, while Chinese labs trail further. With new releases expected before October’s close, any shift in relative Elo gains or leaderboard volatility could quickly alter these market-implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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