OpenAI's commanding 77% implied probability for second-best AI agent lab by end of October stems from its recent GPT-6 Astra release and public beta of the Agents API, which deliver advanced tool use, multi-agent orchestration, and strong results on benchmarks such as OSWorld and BrowseComp. These updates build on OpenAI's scaling advantages and ecosystem integrations, outpacing most rivals in developer adoption and real-world agent reliability. Anthropic holds a distant 13% on the strength of Claude Opus 5 and Mythos variants in long-horizon reasoning, while lower-odds labs like Moonshot, DeepSeek, and Google trail amid competitive but less dominant agent-specific progress. Rapid model cycles and potential new evaluations before resolution keep the field fluid despite OpenAI's current edge.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाOpenAI 77%
एंथ्रॉपिक 14%
मूनशॉट 3.6%
SpaceXAI 2.8%
$34,295 वॉल्यूम
$34,295 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2026
OpenAI
77%
एंथ्रॉपिक
14%
मूनशॉट
4%
SpaceXAI
3%
गूगल
3%
DeepSeek
1%
Meituan
1%
अमेज़न
1%
MiniMax
1%
बायडू
1%
Z.ai
1%
अलीबाबा
<1%
शाओमी
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
मेटा
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
मिस्टरेल
<1%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
<1%
OpenAI 77%
एंथ्रॉपिक 14%
मूनशॉट 3.6%
SpaceXAI 2.8%
$34,295 वॉल्यूम
$34,295 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2026
OpenAI
$12,959 वॉल्यूम
77%
एंथ्रॉपिक
$4,323 वॉल्यूम
14%
मूनशॉट
$7,680 वॉल्यूम
4%
SpaceXAI
$705 वॉल्यूम
3%
गूगल
$1,527 वॉल्यूम
3%
DeepSeek
$638 वॉल्यूम
1%
Meituan
$518 वॉल्यूम
1%
अमेज़न
$599 वॉल्यूम
1%
MiniMax
$626 वॉल्यूम
1%
बायडू
$591 वॉल्यूम
1%
Z.ai
$555 वॉल्यूम
1%
अलीबाबा
$548 वॉल्यूम
<1%
शाओमी
$473 वॉल्यूम
<1%
ByteDance
$553 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मेटा
$516 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Nvidia
$558 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मिस्टरेल
$526 वॉल्यूम
<1%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
$400 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI's commanding 77% implied probability for second-best AI agent lab by end of October stems from its recent GPT-6 Astra release and public beta of the Agents API, which deliver advanced tool use, multi-agent orchestration, and strong results on benchmarks such as OSWorld and BrowseComp. These updates build on OpenAI's scaling advantages and ecosystem integrations, outpacing most rivals in developer adoption and real-world agent reliability. Anthropic holds a distant 13% on the strength of Claude Opus 5 and Mythos variants in long-horizon reasoning, while lower-odds labs like Moonshot, DeepSeek, and Google trail amid competitive but less dominant agent-specific progress. Rapid model cycles and potential new evaluations before resolution keep the field fluid despite OpenAI's current edge.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$34,295समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 4:29 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI's commanding 77% implied probability for second-best AI agent lab by end of October stems from its recent GPT-6 Astra release and public beta of the Agents API, which deliver advanced tool use, multi-agent orchestration, and strong results on benchmarks such as OSWorld and BrowseComp. These updates build on OpenAI's scaling advantages and ecosystem integrations, outpacing most rivals in developer adoption and real-world agent reliability. Anthropic holds a distant 13% on the strength of Claude Opus 5 and Mythos variants in long-horizon reasoning, while lower-odds labs like Moonshot, DeepSeek, and Google trail amid competitive but less dominant agent-specific progress. Rapid model cycles and potential new evaluations before resolution keep the field fluid despite OpenAI's current edge.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
वॉल्यूम
$34,295समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 4:29 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI's commanding 77% implied probability for second-best AI agent lab by end of October stems from its recent GPT-6 Astra release and public beta of the Agents API, which deliver advanced tool use, multi-agent orchestration, and strong results on benchmarks such as OSWorld and BrowseComp. These updates build on OpenAI's scaling advantages and ecosystem integrations, outpacing most rivals in developer adoption and real-world agent reliability. Anthropic holds a distant 13% on the strength of Claude Opus 5 and Mythos variants in long-horizon reasoning, while lower-odds labs like Moonshot, DeepSeek, and Google trail amid competitive but less dominant agent-specific progress. Rapid model cycles and potential new evaluations before resolution keep the field fluid despite OpenAI's current edge.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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