**RFK Jr. remains firmly in place as HHS Secretary with strong presidential backing as of mid-October 2026.** Recent reporting shows the White House has increased his visibility and messaging flexibility ahead of midterms, positioning him and the Make America Healthy Again agenda as an asset for Republican candidates rather than a liability. He continues active duties including budget testimony, agency leadership reorganizations, public events, and policy initiatives on chronic disease and nutrition, with no verified announcements or credible signals of an impending exit. Trader consensus at 96.6% for “No” reflects this sustained institutional support and absence of near-term catalysts. The narrow two-week window to October 31 further limits realistic pathways to departure, though an unforeseen health event, major scandal, or abrupt shift in White House priorities could theoretically alter the outcome before the deadline.