Official measurements from NOAA stations in New York City, including Central Park, recorded total July 2026 precipitation falling squarely in the 4–5 inch range, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome reflects the month's observed rainfall totals aggregated from verified daily reports, consistent with climatological baselines where July averages near 4.5 inches under typical convective patterns. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at near-certainty levels, incorporates final data releases and minimal model divergence on historical analogs. Realistic challenges remain limited to post hoc data revisions by monitoring agencies or station-specific discrepancies, though such adjustments rarely exceed narrow thresholds once preliminary sums are confirmed.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाजुलाई में NYC में वर्षा?
जुलाई में NYC में वर्षा?
4-5" 100.0%
<2" <1%
2-3" <1%
3-4" <1%
$49,258 वॉल्यूम
$49,258 वॉल्यूम
31 जुल, 2026
<2"
No
2-3"
No
3-4"
No
4-5"
Yes
5-6"
No
>6"
No
4-5" 100.0%
<2" <1%
2-3" <1%
3-4" <1%
$49,258 वॉल्यूम
$49,258 वॉल्यूम
31 जुल, 2026
<2"
$4,721 वॉल्यूम
No
2-3"
$6,845 वॉल्यूम
No
3-4"
$1,506 वॉल्यूम
No
4-5"
$8,937 वॉल्यूम
Yes
5-6"
$23,987 वॉल्यूम
No
>6"
$3,263 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for July 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from NOAA stations in New York City, including Central Park, recorded total July 2026 precipitation falling squarely in the 4–5 inch range, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome reflects the month's observed rainfall totals aggregated from verified daily reports, consistent with climatological baselines where July averages near 4.5 inches under typical convective patterns. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at near-certainty levels, incorporates final data releases and minimal model divergence on historical analogs. Realistic challenges remain limited to post hoc data revisions by monitoring agencies or station-specific discrepancies, though such adjustments rarely exceed narrow thresholds once preliminary sums are confirmed.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for July 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for July 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$49,258समाप्ति तिथि
31 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for July 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from NOAA stations in New York City, including Central Park, recorded total July 2026 precipitation falling squarely in the 4–5 inch range, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome reflects the month's observed rainfall totals aggregated from verified daily reports, consistent with climatological baselines where July averages near 4.5 inches under typical convective patterns. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at near-certainty levels, incorporates final data releases and minimal model divergence on historical analogs. Realistic challenges remain limited to post hoc data revisions by monitoring agencies or station-specific discrepancies, though such adjustments rarely exceed narrow thresholds once preliminary sums are confirmed.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for July 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for July 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$49,258समाप्ति तिथि
31 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Official measurements from NOAA stations in New York City, including Central Park, recorded total July 2026 precipitation falling squarely in the 4–5 inch range, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome reflects the month's observed rainfall totals aggregated from verified daily reports, consistent with climatological baselines where July averages near 4.5 inches under typical convective patterns. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at near-certainty levels, incorporates final data releases and minimal model divergence on historical analogs. Realistic challenges remain limited to post hoc data revisions by monitoring agencies or station-specific discrepancies, though such adjustments rarely exceed narrow thresholds once preliminary sums are confirmed.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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