Incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) holds a clear lead in the Pernambuco governor race at 63% on Polymarket, ahead of main challenger João Campos (PSB) at 36.5% and distant trailing options such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) under 1%. This positioning stems from Lyra’s incumbency advantage and recent polling shifts that show her either leading or statistically tied with Campos in first-round and runoff scenarios. Multiple July and August surveys, including those from Real Time Big Data and Simplex, place Lyra in the low-to-mid 40s percent range with Campos close behind, reversing earlier 2026 readings that had favored the Recife mayor. Additional registered candidates remain marginal in voter intention data. The October 4 first-round vote and any subsequent runoff will determine the outcome, with trader consensus reflecting these polling trends and the structural edge of the sitting governor seeking a second term.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाराकेल लीरा 63%
जोआओ कैम्पोस 35%
इवान मोरायस <1%
$27,992 वॉल्यूम
$27,992 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
राकेल लीरा
63%
जोआओ कैम्पोस
35%
इवान मोरायस
<1%
राकेल लीरा 63%
जोआओ कैम्पोस 35%
इवान मोरायस <1%
$27,992 वॉल्यूम
$27,992 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
राकेल लीरा
$12,222 वॉल्यूम
63%
जोआओ कैम्पोस
$13,221 वॉल्यूम
35%
इवान मोरायस
$2,549 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) holds a clear lead in the Pernambuco governor race at 63% on Polymarket, ahead of main challenger João Campos (PSB) at 36.5% and distant trailing options such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) under 1%. This positioning stems from Lyra’s incumbency advantage and recent polling shifts that show her either leading or statistically tied with Campos in first-round and runoff scenarios. Multiple July and August surveys, including those from Real Time Big Data and Simplex, place Lyra in the low-to-mid 40s percent range with Campos close behind, reversing earlier 2026 readings that had favored the Recife mayor. Additional registered candidates remain marginal in voter intention data. The October 4 first-round vote and any subsequent runoff will determine the outcome, with trader consensus reflecting these polling trends and the structural edge of the sitting governor seeking a second term.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$27,992समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) holds a clear lead in the Pernambuco governor race at 63% on Polymarket, ahead of main challenger João Campos (PSB) at 36.5% and distant trailing options such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) under 1%. This positioning stems from Lyra’s incumbency advantage and recent polling shifts that show her either leading or statistically tied with Campos in first-round and runoff scenarios. Multiple July and August surveys, including those from Real Time Big Data and Simplex, place Lyra in the low-to-mid 40s percent range with Campos close behind, reversing earlier 2026 readings that had favored the Recife mayor. Additional registered candidates remain marginal in voter intention data. The October 4 first-round vote and any subsequent runoff will determine the outcome, with trader consensus reflecting these polling trends and the structural edge of the sitting governor seeking a second term.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
वॉल्यूम
$27,992समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) holds a clear lead in the Pernambuco governor race at 63% on Polymarket, ahead of main challenger João Campos (PSB) at 36.5% and distant trailing options such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) under 1%. This positioning stems from Lyra’s incumbency advantage and recent polling shifts that show her either leading or statistically tied with Campos in first-round and runoff scenarios. Multiple July and August surveys, including those from Real Time Big Data and Simplex, place Lyra in the low-to-mid 40s percent range with Campos close behind, reversing earlier 2026 readings that had favored the Recife mayor. Additional registered candidates remain marginal in voter intention data. The October 4 first-round vote and any subsequent runoff will determine the outcome, with trader consensus reflecting these polling trends and the structural edge of the sitting governor seeking a second term.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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