Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no change to the People's Bank of China (PBOC) 7-day reverse repo rate through April 30, reflecting recent monetary policy stability and improving economic signals. The PBOC held its Loan Prime Rate (LPR) unchanged for a tenth consecutive month on March 20 amid steady liquidity operations at 1.4%, while March new loans, though below expectations, showed no fresh easing signals. Stronger Q1 GDP growth forecasts at 4.8% year-over-year, consumer inflation outlook rising to 1.0%, and global banks scaling back rate-cut calls as of April 8 have solidified expectations for policy holds. The April 19 interest rate decision reinforced this stance. Upside risks to rates remain minimal absent inflation surges, while a rare challenge to no-change could stem from abrupt GDP weakness or external shocks prompting easing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअप्रैल में पीपुल्स बैंक ऑफ चाइना की दर में बदलाव?
अप्रैल में पीपुल्स बैंक ऑफ चाइना की दर में बदलाव?
कोई बदलाव नहीं 96.4%
कमी 2.7%
बढ़ोतरी <1%
$36,538 वॉल्यूम
$36,538 वॉल्यूम
बढ़ोतरी
1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
96%
कमी
3%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 96.4%
कमी 2.7%
बढ़ोतरी <1%
$36,538 वॉल्यूम
$36,538 वॉल्यूम
बढ़ोतरी
1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
96%
कमी
3%
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 31, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no change to the People's Bank of China (PBOC) 7-day reverse repo rate through April 30, reflecting recent monetary policy stability and improving economic signals. The PBOC held its Loan Prime Rate (LPR) unchanged for a tenth consecutive month on March 20 amid steady liquidity operations at 1.4%, while March new loans, though below expectations, showed no fresh easing signals. Stronger Q1 GDP growth forecasts at 4.8% year-over-year, consumer inflation outlook rising to 1.0%, and global banks scaling back rate-cut calls as of April 8 have solidified expectations for policy holds. The April 19 interest rate decision reinforced this stance. Upside risks to rates remain minimal absent inflation surges, while a rare challenge to no-change could stem from abrupt GDP weakness or external shocks prompting easing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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