Trader consensus on Polymarket's Nobel Peace Prize 2026 market shows a fragmented field with Volodymyr Zelenskyy holding a slim 9.3% implied probability lead, driven by his late-March formal nomination by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø, who credited Ukraine's resistance to Russian aggression with safeguarding European democracy and stability. Yulia Navalnaya trails closely at 8.5%, buoyed by her ongoing leadership of Russia's opposition movement post-Navalny. Donald Trump's 7.5% share has softened amid recent U.S.-Iran escalations eroding his peace broker narrative, while Pope Leo XIV's 4.5% reflects grassroots campaigns amplifying his sharp anti-war prayer vigils. This tight contest underscores the Norwegian Nobel Committee's unpredictable preferences for nonviolent diplomacy over wartime resolve, with the October announcement looming as the key catalyst.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयावोलोदिमिर ज़ेलेंस्की 9.3%
यूलिया नवल्नाया 9%
डोनाल्ड ट्रम्प 8%
पोप लियो चौदहवें 4.5%
$14,066,618 वॉल्यूम
$14,066,618 वॉल्यूम
वोलोदिमिर ज़ेलेंस्की
9%
यूलिया नवल्नाया
9%
डोनाल्ड ट्रम्प
8%
पोप लियो चौदहवें
5%
तमीम बिन हमद अल थानी
3%
अंतर्राष्ट्रीय न्यायालय
3%
ग्रेटा थनबर्ग
3%
UNRWA
3%
शी जिनपिंग
2%
नरेंद्र मोदी
2%
अहमद अल-शराआ
1%
रेसेप तैय्यप एर्दोआन
1%
मोहम्मद बिन सलमान
1%
चार्ली किर्क
1%
एलन मस्क
1%
खालिद मशाल
1%
जूलियन असांज
1%
एंतोनियो गुटेरेस
1%
व्लादिमीर पुतिन
1%
बेंजामिन नेतन्याहू
1%
वोलोदिमिर ज़ेलेंस्की 9.3%
यूलिया नवल्नाया 9%
डोनाल्ड ट्रम्प 8%
पोप लियो चौदहवें 4.5%
$14,066,618 वॉल्यूम
$14,066,618 वॉल्यूम
वोलोदिमिर ज़ेलेंस्की
9%
यूलिया नवल्नाया
9%
डोनाल्ड ट्रम्प
8%
पोप लियो चौदहवें
5%
तमीम बिन हमद अल थानी
3%
अंतर्राष्ट्रीय न्यायालय
3%
ग्रेटा थनबर्ग
3%
UNRWA
3%
शी जिनपिंग
2%
नरेंद्र मोदी
2%
अहमद अल-शराआ
1%
रेसेप तैय्यप एर्दोआन
1%
मोहम्मद बिन सलमान
1%
चार्ली किर्क
1%
एलन मस्क
1%
खालिद मशाल
1%
जूलियन असांज
1%
एंतोनियो गुटेरेस
1%
व्लादिमीर पुतिन
1%
बेंजामिन नेतन्याहू
1%
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Nobel Peace Prize 2026 market shows a fragmented field with Volodymyr Zelenskyy holding a slim 9.3% implied probability lead, driven by his late-March formal nomination by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø, who credited Ukraine's resistance to Russian aggression with safeguarding European democracy and stability. Yulia Navalnaya trails closely at 8.5%, buoyed by her ongoing leadership of Russia's opposition movement post-Navalny. Donald Trump's 7.5% share has softened amid recent U.S.-Iran escalations eroding his peace broker narrative, while Pope Leo XIV's 4.5% reflects grassroots campaigns amplifying his sharp anti-war prayer vigils. This tight contest underscores the Norwegian Nobel Committee's unpredictable preferences for nonviolent diplomacy over wartime resolve, with the October announcement looming as the key catalyst.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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