Incumbent Democrat Gabriel Vasquez is seeking a third term in New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district, where multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic or Tilt Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s partisan voting index sits near even, and an April internal Republican poll showed Vasquez narrowly ahead of likely Republican nominee Greg Cunningham, who has consolidated support following the withdrawal of rival Jose Orozco and endorsements from former President Trump and House GOP leadership. Primaries on June 2 will finalize the general-election matchup, with Vasquez facing minimal Democratic opposition. Trader consensus on Democratic victory reflects the incumbent’s structural edge and the limited time for challengers to shift momentum before the general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNM -02 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
NM -02 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$17,522 वॉल्यूम
$17,522 वॉल्यूम
4 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
64%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
22%
$17,522 वॉल्यूम
$17,522 वॉल्यूम
4 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$1,496 वॉल्यूम
64%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$16,027 वॉल्यूम
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabriel Vasquez is seeking a third term in New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district, where multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic or Tilt Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s partisan voting index sits near even, and an April internal Republican poll showed Vasquez narrowly ahead of likely Republican nominee Greg Cunningham, who has consolidated support following the withdrawal of rival Jose Orozco and endorsements from former President Trump and House GOP leadership. Primaries on June 2 will finalize the general-election matchup, with Vasquez facing minimal Democratic opposition. Trader consensus on Democratic victory reflects the incumbent’s structural edge and the limited time for challengers to shift momentum before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$17,522समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabriel Vasquez is seeking a third term in New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district, where multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic or Tilt Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s partisan voting index sits near even, and an April internal Republican poll showed Vasquez narrowly ahead of likely Republican nominee Greg Cunningham, who has consolidated support following the withdrawal of rival Jose Orozco and endorsements from former President Trump and House GOP leadership. Primaries on June 2 will finalize the general-election matchup, with Vasquez facing minimal Democratic opposition. Trader consensus on Democratic victory reflects the incumbent’s structural edge and the limited time for challengers to shift momentum before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$17,522समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Gabriel Vasquez is seeking a third term in New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district, where multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic or Tilt Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s partisan voting index sits near even, and an April internal Republican poll showed Vasquez narrowly ahead of likely Republican nominee Greg Cunningham, who has consolidated support following the withdrawal of rival Jose Orozco and endorsements from former President Trump and House GOP leadership. Primaries on June 2 will finalize the general-election matchup, with Vasquez facing minimal Democratic opposition. Trader consensus on Democratic victory reflects the incumbent’s structural edge and the limited time for challengers to shift momentum before the general election.
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