This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Speculation over a potential Labour leadership transition and cabinet reshuffle in 2026 is keeping the contest for the next Chancellor of the Exchequer tightly matched among multiple figures. Recent local election setbacks have intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting discussions of successors and portfolio changes that could elevate candidates such as Ed Miliband or others currently in or near Treasury-related roles. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single contender pulling ahead amid variables like economic performance, party internal dynamics, and any formal announcements on ministerial appointments. A confirmed leadership vote, Spring Statement fallout, or targeted reshuffle would likely widen gaps by clarifying pathways for frontrunners versus those seen as less aligned with fiscal priorities.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Speculation over a potential Labour leadership transition and cabinet reshuffle in 2026 is keeping the contest for the next Chancellor of the Exchequer tightly matched among multiple figures. Recent local election setbacks have intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting discussions of successors and portfolio changes that could elevate candidates such as Ed Miliband or others currently in or near Treasury-related roles. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single contender pulling ahead amid variables like economic performance, party internal dynamics, and any formal announcements on ministerial appointments. A confirmed leadership vote, Spring Statement fallout, or targeted reshuffle would likely widen gaps by clarifying pathways for frontrunners versus those seen as less aligned with fiscal priorities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
Jul 20 2026
Andy Burnham officially becomes Prime Minister, expected to announce cabinet including Chancellor
Shabana Mahmood plunges to 73%16%
Andy Burnham was formally appointed Prime Minister and was expected to announce his cabinet appointments, including the Chancellor of the Exchequer, imminently. Market prices reflected this with Shabana Mahmood maintaining a strong lead as the likely appointee.
Jul 15 2026
Ed Miliband's candidacy for Chancellor weakens amid business and union opposition
Ed Miliband plunges to 3%48%
Ed Miliband, initially a frontrunner for Chancellor, faced growing opposition from business leaders and trade unions concerned about his net-zero policies and fiscal discipline. Reports suggested Burnham might appoint Miliband as Foreign Secretary instead, reducing his chances for the Treasury role and causing his market odds to drop significantly.
Jul 15 2026
Reports suggest Andy Burnham to appoint Shabana Mahmood as Chancellor
Shabana Mahmood surges to 86%67%
Multiple media reports indicated that Andy Burnham, soon to be Prime Minister, was set to name Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer. This news caused a sharp rise in Mahmood's market price, reflecting strong market confidence in her appointment.
Jul 14 2026
Market survey shows Wes Streeting favored by UK markets over Ed Miliband for Chancellor role
Wes Streeting dips to 1%3%
A Bloomberg Markets Live Pulse survey of market participants showed Wes Streeting as the preferred candidate for Chancellor among UK markets, with Ed Miliband seen as the least market-friendly choice. This survey influenced market sentiment, contributing to Streeting's relative support and Miliband's decline in odds.
Jul 14 2026
Andy Burnham secures Labour leadership, set to become UK Prime Minister on July 20
Shabana Mahmood jumps to 87%9%
Andy Burnham was confirmed as Labour leader with overwhelming support, clearing the way for him to become Prime Minister. This political development solidified expectations that he would appoint his preferred Chancellor, boosting market confidence in Mahmood.
Jul 14 2026
Reports emerge that Andy Burnham will appoint Shabana Mahmood as Chancellor
Shabana Mahmood surges to 86%67%
Multiple credible media reports indicated that incoming Prime Minister Andy Burnham is expected to name Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer. This news caused a sharp increase in market confidence for Mahmood, reflecting her perceived alignment with Burnham's agenda and positive reception by financial markets.
Jul 10 2026
Shabana Mahmood emerges as Burnham’s likely pick for Chancellor amid mixed reactions
Shabana Mahmood surges to 87%79%
Reports highlighted Burnham's preference for Mahmood as Chancellor, citing her political alignment and operational capability, despite some parliamentary opposition to her immigration reforms. This reinforced market confidence in Mahmood's appointment.
Jun 26 2026
Reports emerge that Andy Burnham is expected to appoint Shabana Mahmood as Chancellor
Shabana Mahmood surges to 87%81%
Multiple news sources reported that Andy Burnham, poised to become Prime Minister, was likely to name Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer, signaling a shift from other contenders like Ed Miliband. This news caused a significant rise in Mahmood's market probability.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Speculation over a potential Labour leadership transition and cabinet reshuffle in 2026 is keeping the contest for the next Chancellor of the Exchequer tightly matched among multiple figures. Recent local election setbacks have intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting discussions of successors and portfolio changes that could elevate candidates such as Ed Miliband or others currently in or near Treasury-related roles. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single contender pulling ahead amid variables like economic performance, party internal dynamics, and any formal announcements on ministerial appointments. A confirmed leadership vote, Spring Statement fallout, or targeted reshuffle would likely widen gaps by clarifying pathways for frontrunners versus those seen as less aligned with fiscal priorities.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Speculation over a potential Labour leadership transition and cabinet reshuffle in 2026 is keeping the contest for the next Chancellor of the Exchequer tightly matched among multiple figures. Recent local election setbacks have intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting discussions of successors and portfolio changes that could elevate candidates such as Ed Miliband or others currently in or near Treasury-related roles. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single contender pulling ahead amid variables like economic performance, party internal dynamics, and any formal announcements on ministerial appointments. A confirmed leadership vote, Spring Statement fallout, or targeted reshuffle would likely widen gaps by clarifying pathways for frontrunners versus those seen as less aligned with fiscal priorities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
Jul 20 2026
Andy Burnham officially becomes Prime Minister, expected to announce cabinet including Chancellor
Shabana Mahmood plunges to 73%16%
Andy Burnham was formally appointed Prime Minister and was expected to announce his cabinet appointments, including the Chancellor of the Exchequer, imminently. Market prices reflected this with Shabana Mahmood maintaining a strong lead as the likely appointee.
Jul 15 2026
Ed Miliband's candidacy for Chancellor weakens amid business and union opposition
Ed Miliband plunges to 3%48%
Ed Miliband, initially a frontrunner for Chancellor, faced growing opposition from business leaders and trade unions concerned about his net-zero policies and fiscal discipline. Reports suggested Burnham might appoint Miliband as Foreign Secretary instead, reducing his chances for the Treasury role and causing his market odds to drop significantly.
Jul 15 2026
Reports suggest Andy Burnham to appoint Shabana Mahmood as Chancellor
Shabana Mahmood surges to 86%67%
Multiple media reports indicated that Andy Burnham, soon to be Prime Minister, was set to name Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer. This news caused a sharp rise in Mahmood's market price, reflecting strong market confidence in her appointment.
Jul 14 2026
Market survey shows Wes Streeting favored by UK markets over Ed Miliband for Chancellor role
Wes Streeting dips to 1%3%
A Bloomberg Markets Live Pulse survey of market participants showed Wes Streeting as the preferred candidate for Chancellor among UK markets, with Ed Miliband seen as the least market-friendly choice. This survey influenced market sentiment, contributing to Streeting's relative support and Miliband's decline in odds.
Jul 14 2026
Andy Burnham secures Labour leadership, set to become UK Prime Minister on July 20
Shabana Mahmood jumps to 87%9%
Andy Burnham was confirmed as Labour leader with overwhelming support, clearing the way for him to become Prime Minister. This political development solidified expectations that he would appoint his preferred Chancellor, boosting market confidence in Mahmood.
Jul 14 2026
Reports emerge that Andy Burnham will appoint Shabana Mahmood as Chancellor
Shabana Mahmood surges to 86%67%
Multiple credible media reports indicated that incoming Prime Minister Andy Burnham is expected to name Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer. This news caused a sharp increase in market confidence for Mahmood, reflecting her perceived alignment with Burnham's agenda and positive reception by financial markets.
Jul 10 2026
Shabana Mahmood emerges as Burnham’s likely pick for Chancellor amid mixed reactions
Shabana Mahmood surges to 87%79%
Reports highlighted Burnham's preference for Mahmood as Chancellor, citing her political alignment and operational capability, despite some parliamentary opposition to her immigration reforms. This reinforced market confidence in Mahmood's appointment.
Jun 26 2026
Reports emerge that Andy Burnham is expected to appoint Shabana Mahmood as Chancellor
Shabana Mahmood surges to 87%81%
Multiple news sources reported that Andy Burnham, poised to become Prime Minister, was likely to name Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer, signaling a shift from other contenders like Ed Miliband. This news caused a significant rise in Mahmood's market probability.
"2026 में ब्रिटेन के राजकोष के अगले चांसलर?" Polymarket पर 11 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, जॉन हीली 100% (100¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद एड मिलिबैंड 0% पर है।
आज तक, "2026 में ब्रिटेन के राजकोष के अगले चांसलर?" ने कुल $1.5 million ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Jun 21, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।
"2026 में ब्रिटेन के राजकोष के अगले चांसलर?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 11 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।
"2026 में ब्रिटेन के राजकोष के अगले चांसलर?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "जॉन हीली" 100% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "एड मिलिबैंड" 0% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।
"2026 में ब्रिटेन के राजकोष के अगले चांसलर?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।
हाँ। सूचित रहने के लिए आपको ट्रेड करने की ज़रूरत नहीं है। यह पेज "2026 में ब्रिटेन के राजकोष के अगले चांसलर?" के लिए लाइव ट्रैकर के रूप में काम करता है। नए ट्रेड आने पर परिणाम संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं। आप इस पेज को बुकमार्क कर सकते हैं और टिप्पणी अनुभाग में देख सकते हैं कि अन्य ट्रेडर क्या कह रहे हैं।
Polymarket की संभावनाएँ असली ट्रेडरों द्वारा अपने विश्वासों के पीछे असली पैसा लगाकर निर्धारित होती हैं, जो सटीक पूर्वानुमान सामने लाने की प्रवृत्ति रखती है। "2026 में ब्रिटेन के राजकोष के अगले चांसलर?" पर $1.5 million ट्रेड होने के साथ, ये कीमतें हज़ारों प्रतिभागियों के सामूहिक ज्ञान और विश्वास को एकत्र करती हैं। उदाहरण के लिए, Polymarket का एक महीने का सटीकता स्कोर 94% है। Polymarket की पूर्वानुमान सटीकता पर नवीनतम आँकड़ों के लिए, सटीकता पेज Polymarket पर देखें।
"2026 में ब्रिटेन के राजकोष के अगले चांसलर?" पर अपना पहला ट्रेड करने के लिए, एक मुफ़्त Polymarket अकाउंट के लिए साइन अप करें और क्रिप्टो, क्रेडिट या डेबिट कार्ड, या बैंक ट्रांसफ़र से फ़ंड करें। एक बार आपका अकाउंट फ़ंडेड हो जाने पर, इस पेज पर वापस आएँ, जिस परिणाम पर आप ट्रेड करना चाहते हैं उसे चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।
Polymarket पर, प्रत्येक परिणाम की कीमत बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाती है। "2026 में ब्रिटेन के राजकोष के अगले चांसलर?" बाज़ार में "जॉन हीली" के लिए 100¢ की कीमत का मतलब है कि ट्रेडर सामूहिक रूप से मानते हैं कि "जॉन हीली" के सही परिणाम होने की लगभग 100% संभावना है। अगर आप 100¢ पर "हाँ" शेयर खरीदते हैं और परिणाम सही है, तो आपको प्रति शेयर $1.00 मिलता है — प्रति शेयर 0¢ का लाभ।
"2026 में ब्रिटेन के राजकोष के अगले चांसलर?" बाज़ार हल हो गया है। अंतिम परिणाम निर्धारित हो चुका है और बाज़ार अब ट्रेडिंग के लिए खुला नहीं है। आप अभी भी इस पेज पर ऐतिहासिक संभावनाएँ, परिणाम प्रायिकताएँ, और टिप्पणियाँ देख सकते हैं।
"2026 में ब्रिटेन के राजकोष के अगले चांसलर?" बाज़ार में 38 टिप्पणियों का एक सक्रिय समुदाय है जहाँ ट्रेडर अपना विश्लेषण साझा करते हैं, परिणामों पर बहस करते हैं, और ब्रेकिंग विकासों पर चर्चा करते हैं। अन्य प्रतिभागी क्या सोचते हैं पढ़ने के लिए नीचे टिप्पणी अनुभाग तक स्क्रॉल करें।
Polymarket दुनिया का सबसे बड़ा पूर्वानुमान बाज़ार है, जहाँ आप वास्तविक दुनिया की घटनाओं के अपने ज्ञान से सूचित रह सकते हैं और लाभ कमा सकते हैं। ट्रेडर राजनीति और चुनावों से लेकर क्रिप्टो, वित्त, खेल, तकनीक, और संस्कृति तक के विषयों पर परिणामों में शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं, जिसमें "2026 में ब्रिटेन के राजकोष के अगले चांसलर?" जैसे बाज़ार शामिल हैं।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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