Montana’s 1st congressional district features an open seat after Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke’s retirement, producing closely matched trader odds for the November 2026 general election. The district’s mix of conservative rural areas and Democratic-leaning urban centers in Missoula and Bozeman creates a narrow path for either party. With primaries scheduled for June 2, frontrunners Aaron Flint on the Republican side and Ryan Busse among Democrats are set to emerge, potentially clarifying the matchup. Historical midterm patterns and the district’s modest Republican tilt continue to anchor consensus near 54 percent for the GOP nominee, though shifts in turnout among key voting blocs or national political conditions could quickly alter positioning before November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Republican Party
52%
Democratic Party
56%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$1,011 वॉल्यूम
52%
Democratic Party
$392 वॉल्यूम
56%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana’s 1st congressional district features an open seat after Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke’s retirement, producing closely matched trader odds for the November 2026 general election. The district’s mix of conservative rural areas and Democratic-leaning urban centers in Missoula and Bozeman creates a narrow path for either party. With primaries scheduled for June 2, frontrunners Aaron Flint on the Republican side and Ryan Busse among Democrats are set to emerge, potentially clarifying the matchup. Historical midterm patterns and the district’s modest Republican tilt continue to anchor consensus near 54 percent for the GOP nominee, though shifts in turnout among key voting blocs or national political conditions could quickly alter positioning before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,402समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana’s 1st congressional district features an open seat after Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke’s retirement, producing closely matched trader odds for the November 2026 general election. The district’s mix of conservative rural areas and Democratic-leaning urban centers in Missoula and Bozeman creates a narrow path for either party. With primaries scheduled for June 2, frontrunners Aaron Flint on the Republican side and Ryan Busse among Democrats are set to emerge, potentially clarifying the matchup. Historical midterm patterns and the district’s modest Republican tilt continue to anchor consensus near 54 percent for the GOP nominee, though shifts in turnout among key voting blocs or national political conditions could quickly alter positioning before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$1,402समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Montana’s 1st congressional district features an open seat after Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke’s retirement, producing closely matched trader odds for the November 2026 general election. The district’s mix of conservative rural areas and Democratic-leaning urban centers in Missoula and Bozeman creates a narrow path for either party. With primaries scheduled for June 2, frontrunners Aaron Flint on the Republican side and Ryan Busse among Democrats are set to emerge, potentially clarifying the matchup. Historical midterm patterns and the district’s modest Republican tilt continue to anchor consensus near 54 percent for the GOP nominee, though shifts in turnout among key voting blocs or national political conditions could quickly alter positioning before November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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