Court rulings have locked in Missouri’s 2022 congressional map for the November 3 general election, preserving a district where Kamala Harris carried 61 percent in the prior presidential contest. Incumbent Emanuel Cleaver has represented the Kansas City-centered seat since 2005 and won prior cycles by wide margins under the same boundaries. Republican nominee Rick Brattin secured his party’s primary but faces structural disadvantages in voter composition and Cleaver’s established fundraising and name recognition. Election forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic, aligning with the 96 percent-plus trader consensus on Cleaver. Late shifts in turnout or unforeseen events remain the narrow paths that could narrow the gap before ballots close.