Tyler Kistner's withdrawal from Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District Republican primary on April 15—due to Marine Reserves activation for Middle East deployment—has driven trader consensus to heavily favor state Sen. Eric Pratt at 87% implied probability for the August 11 open primary. The three-time candidate's exit clears the path for Pratt, a four-term legislator from Prior Lake who launched his congressional bid in July 2025, positioning him as the unopposed frontrunner in the battleground district left open by Rep. Angie Craig's U.S. Senate run. Remaining odds on Kistner reflect minimal uncertainty over his departure, with no major challengers emerging amid early campaign dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$15,997 वॉल्यूम
$15,997 वॉल्यूम
11 अग, 2026
एरिक प्रैट
87%
टायलर किस्टनर
2%
$15,997 वॉल्यूम
$15,997 वॉल्यूम
11 अग, 2026
एरिक प्रैट
$2,801 वॉल्यूम
87%
टायलर किस्टनर
$13,196 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tyler Kistner's withdrawal from Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District Republican primary on April 15—due to Marine Reserves activation for Middle East deployment—has driven trader consensus to heavily favor state Sen. Eric Pratt at 87% implied probability for the August 11 open primary. The three-time candidate's exit clears the path for Pratt, a four-term legislator from Prior Lake who launched his congressional bid in July 2025, positioning him as the unopposed frontrunner in the battleground district left open by Rep. Angie Craig's U.S. Senate run. Remaining odds on Kistner reflect minimal uncertainty over his departure, with no major challengers emerging amid early campaign dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$15,997समाप्ति तिथि
11 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tyler Kistner's withdrawal from Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District Republican primary on April 15—due to Marine Reserves activation for Middle East deployment—has driven trader consensus to heavily favor state Sen. Eric Pratt at 87% implied probability for the August 11 open primary. The three-time candidate's exit clears the path for Pratt, a four-term legislator from Prior Lake who launched his congressional bid in July 2025, positioning him as the unopposed frontrunner in the battleground district left open by Rep. Angie Craig's U.S. Senate run. Remaining odds on Kistner reflect minimal uncertainty over his departure, with no major challengers emerging amid early campaign dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$15,997समाप्ति तिथि
11 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tyler Kistner's withdrawal from Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District Republican primary on April 15—due to Marine Reserves activation for Middle East deployment—has driven trader consensus to heavily favor state Sen. Eric Pratt at 87% implied probability for the August 11 open primary. The three-time candidate's exit clears the path for Pratt, a four-term legislator from Prior Lake who launched his congressional bid in July 2025, positioning him as the unopposed frontrunner in the battleground district left open by Rep. Angie Craig's U.S. Senate run. Remaining odds on Kistner reflect minimal uncertainty over his departure, with no major challengers emerging amid early campaign dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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