Nashville SC's record-setting 77-point regular season, including the Supporters' Shield and historic goal differential, anchors trader consensus at 23.2% implied probability for the MLS Cup title. The East's top seed secures favorable playoff positioning and home-field advantage deep into the postseason bracket. Vancouver Whitecaps and Inter Miami, at 16.2% and 17.5%, remain competitive through strong Western Conference form and defending-champion pedigree, respectively, with the latter boosted by Lionel Messi's Golden Boot campaign. Multiple Western contenders and Eastern depth create narrow spreads across the field, reflecting the single-elimination format's inherent variance and the potential for upsets even among top seeds.