Nashville SC’s record-setting 77-point regular season, including a league-best +46 goal difference and the Supporters’ Shield, underpins their 23.7% market share, anchored by elite defense and consistent results at GEODIS Park. Inter Miami CF sits close behind at 18.0% thanks to Lionel Messi’s 26 goals and 13 assists driving an 80-goal attack despite a 17-point gap in the standings. Vancouver Whitecaps FC’s 15.8% reflects their Western Conference dominance with 64 points and a +40 goal difference. With the top three probabilities tightly clustered, the market highlights how playoff variance, best-of-three series formats, home-field edges, and potential for upsets compress distinctions among the strongest regular-season sides heading into the November 19 postseason opener.