US federal prosecutors unsealed a superseding indictment against Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses tied to alleged state-sponsored trafficking networks. Maduro and his wife entered not guilty pleas, with a June 2027 trial date set in July 2026 and upcoming deadlines for immunity-based dismissal motions. Defense arguments center on head-of-state and conduct immunity for acts performed in official capacity, alongside questions over the legality of the January 2026 US operation that led to his capture. These procedural hurdles, combined with the extended timeline before any verdict and historical patterns in complex extraterritorial cases, underpin trader expectations reflected in the 74% probability against conviction on every count.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
26% संभावना
$126,232 वॉल्यूम
$126,232 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2027
हाँ
26% संभावना
$126,232 वॉल्यूम
$126,232 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US federal prosecutors unsealed a superseding indictment against Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses tied to alleged state-sponsored trafficking networks. Maduro and his wife entered not guilty pleas, with a June 2027 trial date set in July 2026 and upcoming deadlines for immunity-based dismissal motions. Defense arguments center on head-of-state and conduct immunity for acts performed in official capacity, alongside questions over the legality of the January 2026 US operation that led to his capture. These procedural hurdles, combined with the extended timeline before any verdict and historical patterns in complex extraterritorial cases, underpin trader expectations reflected in the 74% probability against conviction on every count.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$126,232समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US federal prosecutors unsealed a superseding indictment against Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses tied to alleged state-sponsored trafficking networks. Maduro and his wife entered not guilty pleas, with a June 2027 trial date set in July 2026 and upcoming deadlines for immunity-based dismissal motions. Defense arguments center on head-of-state and conduct immunity for acts performed in official capacity, alongside questions over the legality of the January 2026 US operation that led to his capture. These procedural hurdles, combined with the extended timeline before any verdict and historical patterns in complex extraterritorial cases, underpin trader expectations reflected in the 74% probability against conviction on every count.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$126,232समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US federal prosecutors unsealed a superseding indictment against Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses tied to alleged state-sponsored trafficking networks. Maduro and his wife entered not guilty pleas, with a June 2027 trial date set in July 2026 and upcoming deadlines for immunity-based dismissal motions. Defense arguments center on head-of-state and conduct immunity for acts performed in official capacity, alongside questions over the legality of the January 2026 US operation that led to his capture. These procedural hurdles, combined with the extended timeline before any verdict and historical patterns in complex extraterritorial cases, underpin trader expectations reflected in the 74% probability against conviction on every count.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न