Trader consensus on the July 2026 CPI month-over-month print centers on a modest rebound, with the ≥0.1% outcome priced at 62.5% reflecting economist forecasts and Cleveland Fed nowcasts near 0.09–0.12%. June’s -0.4% decline, the largest since 2020 and driven by a nearly 10% drop in gasoline prices, set a low base that energy components are not expected to repeat this month, while core prices are projected to rise 0.2% amid normalizing shelter and services costs. The 0.0% bucket at 29.5% captures downside risks if energy weakness persists, though recent nowcasts and consensus estimates from MUFG and Bloomberg surveys anchor probabilities around the 0.1% threshold ahead of the 8:30 a.m. ET Bureau of Labor Statistics release.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया≥0.1% 62%
0.0% 30%
-0.1% 8.6%
≤-0.7% <1%
$289,759 वॉल्यूम
$289,759 वॉल्यूम
≤-0.7%
1%
-0.6%
<1%
-0.5%
<1%
-0.4%
<1%
-0.3%
1%
-0.2%
<1%
-0.1%
9%
0.0%
30%
≥0.1%
62%
≥0.1% 62%
0.0% 30%
-0.1% 8.6%
≤-0.7% <1%
$289,759 वॉल्यूम
$289,759 वॉल्यूम
≤-0.7%
1%
-0.6%
<1%
-0.5%
<1%
-0.4%
<1%
-0.3%
1%
-0.2%
<1%
-0.1%
9%
0.0%
30%
≥0.1%
62%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the July 2026 CPI month-over-month print centers on a modest rebound, with the ≥0.1% outcome priced at 62.5% reflecting economist forecasts and Cleveland Fed nowcasts near 0.09–0.12%. June’s -0.4% decline, the largest since 2020 and driven by a nearly 10% drop in gasoline prices, set a low base that energy components are not expected to repeat this month, while core prices are projected to rise 0.2% amid normalizing shelter and services costs. The 0.0% bucket at 29.5% captures downside risks if energy weakness persists, though recent nowcasts and consensus estimates from MUFG and Bloomberg surveys anchor probabilities around the 0.1% threshold ahead of the 8:30 a.m. ET Bureau of Labor Statistics release.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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