Market-implied odds for July 2026 U.S. CPI show a tight contest between 3.3% and 3.4% year-over-year, reflecting trader consensus around continued disinflation after June’s 3.5% print. Primary drivers include sharply lower gasoline prices, expected to drop nearly 3% month-over-month, alongside softer airfares and a modest 0.1% headline increase that would mark a rebound from June’s 0.4% decline. Core CPI is projected at +0.2% monthly and 2.5% annually, the lowest since February, supported by easing shelter costs and stable goods prices. With the Bureau of Labor Statistics release due today, probabilities embed these forecasts while acknowledging risks from volatile energy components or upside surprises in services. Historical base effects and recent monthly volatility keep the two leading outcomes closely matched ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3.3% 47%
3.4% 41%
3.5% 12%
3.6% 2.8%
$587,583 वॉल्यूम
$587,583 वॉल्यूम
12 अग, 2026
≤3.1%
2%
3.2%
2%
3.3%
47%
3.4%
41%
3.5%
12%
3.6%
3%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
<1%
4.1%
<1%
≥4.2%
<1%
3.3% 47%
3.4% 41%
3.5% 12%
3.6% 2.8%
$587,583 वॉल्यूम
$587,583 वॉल्यूम
12 अग, 2026
≤3.1%
$53,134 वॉल्यूम
2%
3.2%
$43,872 वॉल्यूम
2%
3.3%
$99,066 वॉल्यूम
47%
3.4%
$98,267 वॉल्यूम
41%
3.5%
$75,239 वॉल्यूम
12%
3.6%
$42,753 वॉल्यूम
3%
3.7%
$37,287 वॉल्यूम
<1%
3.8%
$31,969 वॉल्यूम
<1%
3.9%
$30,447 वॉल्यूम
<1%
4.0%
$26,540 वॉल्यूम
<1%
4.1%
$25,137 वॉल्यूम
<1%
≥4.2%
$24,657 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Market-implied odds for July 2026 U.S. CPI show a tight contest between 3.3% and 3.4% year-over-year, reflecting trader consensus around continued disinflation after June’s 3.5% print. Primary drivers include sharply lower gasoline prices, expected to drop nearly 3% month-over-month, alongside softer airfares and a modest 0.1% headline increase that would mark a rebound from June’s 0.4% decline. Core CPI is projected at +0.2% monthly and 2.5% annually, the lowest since February, supported by easing shelter costs and stable goods prices. With the Bureau of Labor Statistics release due today, probabilities embed these forecasts while acknowledging risks from volatile energy components or upside surprises in services. Historical base effects and recent monthly volatility keep the two leading outcomes closely matched ahead of resolution.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$587,583समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Market-implied odds for July 2026 U.S. CPI show a tight contest between 3.3% and 3.4% year-over-year, reflecting trader consensus around continued disinflation after June’s 3.5% print. Primary drivers include sharply lower gasoline prices, expected to drop nearly 3% month-over-month, alongside softer airfares and a modest 0.1% headline increase that would mark a rebound from June’s 0.4% decline. Core CPI is projected at +0.2% monthly and 2.5% annually, the lowest since February, supported by easing shelter costs and stable goods prices. With the Bureau of Labor Statistics release due today, probabilities embed these forecasts while acknowledging risks from volatile energy components or upside surprises in services. Historical base effects and recent monthly volatility keep the two leading outcomes closely matched ahead of resolution.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
वॉल्यूम
$587,583समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds for July 2026 U.S. CPI show a tight contest between 3.3% and 3.4% year-over-year, reflecting trader consensus around continued disinflation after June’s 3.5% print. Primary drivers include sharply lower gasoline prices, expected to drop nearly 3% month-over-month, alongside softer airfares and a modest 0.1% headline increase that would mark a rebound from June’s 0.4% decline. Core CPI is projected at +0.2% monthly and 2.5% annually, the lowest since February, supported by easing shelter costs and stable goods prices. With the Bureau of Labor Statistics release due today, probabilities embed these forecasts while acknowledging risks from volatile energy components or upside surprises in services. Historical base effects and recent monthly volatility keep the two leading outcomes closely matched ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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