Recent readings of Japan’s core CPI, excluding fresh food, have hovered near 1.6% year-over-year through mid-2026, remaining below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target amid energy subsidies and fading base effects from prior food-price spikes. The BoJ’s January 2026 projection placed fiscal-year core inflation at 1.9%, a figure reinforced by subsequent communications, which helps explain why market-implied odds cluster so tightly around the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% buckets. Upside risks stem from elevated crude-oil prices linked to Middle East tensions and a weaker yen, both of which could transmit through producer prices later in the year. Key near-term catalysts include the next BoJ Outlook Report, August-September CPI prints, and any further policy-rate adjustments that would signal revised inflation expectations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया≤1.9% 48.9%
2.0-2.4% 48%
2.5-2.9% 1.4%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$37,290 वॉल्यूम
$37,290 वॉल्यूम
22 जन, 2027
≤1.9%
49%
2.0-2.4%
48%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3.0-3.4%
1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
≤1.9% 48.9%
2.0-2.4% 48%
2.5-2.9% 1.4%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$37,290 वॉल्यूम
$37,290 वॉल्यूम
22 जन, 2027
≤1.9%
$18,007 वॉल्यूम
49%
2.0-2.4%
$10,631 वॉल्यूम
48%
2.5-2.9%
$5,149 वॉल्यूम
1%
3.0-3.4%
$1,322 वॉल्यूम
1%
3.5-3.9%
$840 वॉल्यूम
<1%
4.0%+
$1,339 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent readings of Japan’s core CPI, excluding fresh food, have hovered near 1.6% year-over-year through mid-2026, remaining below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target amid energy subsidies and fading base effects from prior food-price spikes. The BoJ’s January 2026 projection placed fiscal-year core inflation at 1.9%, a figure reinforced by subsequent communications, which helps explain why market-implied odds cluster so tightly around the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% buckets. Upside risks stem from elevated crude-oil prices linked to Middle East tensions and a weaker yen, both of which could transmit through producer prices later in the year. Key near-term catalysts include the next BoJ Outlook Report, August-September CPI prints, and any further policy-rate adjustments that would signal revised inflation expectations.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$37,290समाप्ति तिथि
22 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent readings of Japan’s core CPI, excluding fresh food, have hovered near 1.6% year-over-year through mid-2026, remaining below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target amid energy subsidies and fading base effects from prior food-price spikes. The BoJ’s January 2026 projection placed fiscal-year core inflation at 1.9%, a figure reinforced by subsequent communications, which helps explain why market-implied odds cluster so tightly around the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% buckets. Upside risks stem from elevated crude-oil prices linked to Middle East tensions and a weaker yen, both of which could transmit through producer prices later in the year. Key near-term catalysts include the next BoJ Outlook Report, August-September CPI prints, and any further policy-rate adjustments that would signal revised inflation expectations.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$37,290समाप्ति तिथि
22 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent readings of Japan’s core CPI, excluding fresh food, have hovered near 1.6% year-over-year through mid-2026, remaining below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target amid energy subsidies and fading base effects from prior food-price spikes. The BoJ’s January 2026 projection placed fiscal-year core inflation at 1.9%, a figure reinforced by subsequent communications, which helps explain why market-implied odds cluster so tightly around the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% buckets. Upside risks stem from elevated crude-oil prices linked to Middle East tensions and a weaker yen, both of which could transmit through producer prices later in the year. Key near-term catalysts include the next BoJ Outlook Report, August-September CPI prints, and any further policy-rate adjustments that would signal revised inflation expectations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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