Jack Doherty’s dominant “No Prison Time” positioning at 91.7% reflects the misdemeanor domestic battery charge stemming from his September 4, 2026, arrest in Fort Lauderdale, which carries a statutory maximum of one year in county jail rather than state prison. No injuries were reported, the victim declined to pursue further action in initial reports, and Doherty entered a not-guilty plea days later while securing release on modest bond. His prior 2025 drug and resisting-arrest matters resolved via diversion without incarceration, establishing a pattern of non-felony handling for similar low-level Florida cases involving first-time or repeat misdemeanor offenders. Traders appear to weigh historical precedent for such charges—fines, probation, or short county stays—against any realistic path to felony elevation or multi-year sentencing. An upset would require charge upgrades, new aggravating evidence, or probation violations that shift the matter into felony territory.