The Democrats, a Zionist opposition party formed from the Labor-Meretz merger and led by Yair Golan, poll in a narrow band of 8-10 seats across recent surveys, with averages near 8.8-9.9 in the final weeks before the October 27 Knesset vote. This positioning reflects steady support within the broader anti-Netanyahu Zionist bloc, which trails or ties the governing parties in most aggregates but remains short of a majority without Arab-party backing or threshold surprises. Recent Channel 13, Maariv, and Zman Yisrael polls show the party holding 8-10 seats amid minor fluctuations tied to bloc dynamics and competition from Yashar and Together lists. Trader consensus on the 8-9 seat range aligns with this polling stability, while upside scenarios to 10-13 seats hinge on stronger opposition turnout or favorable surplus-vote agreements; downside risks below 8 remain limited unless smaller lists clear the threshold and fragment the vote further.
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