Iranian forces have repeatedly struck or harassed commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz and adjacent waters amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict that began in February 2026, including drone and missile attacks on tankers and container ships in late August and early September. These incidents prompted U.S. retaliatory strikes on Iranian military assets and tankers, followed by renewed blockades and sharply reduced transits through the chokepoint. Traders price high probability of additional confirmed Iranian kinetic strikes or seizures before September 30 due to persistent IRGC enforcement actions, mine threats, route restrictions, and the pattern of escalation despite intermittent cease-fire talks. Key upcoming factors include any further naval movements, sanctions enforcement, or diplomatic deadlines that could either deter or provoke new attacks within the resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाIran successfully targets shipping on...?
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$244,221 वॉल्यूम
1 अग, 2026
August 1
No
August 2
No
August 3
No
August 4
No
August 5
No
August 6
No
August 7
No
8 अगस्त
नहीं
9 अगस्त
नहीं
August 10
No
August 11
No
August 12
No
August 13
Yes
14 अगस्त
हाँ
15 अगस्त
नहीं
16 अगस्त
नहीं
17 अगस्त
हाँ
18 अगस्त
नहीं
19 अगस्त
नहीं
August 20
No
21 अगस्त
नहीं
22 अगस्त
नहीं
August 23
No
24 अगस्त
नहीं
25 अगस्त
नहीं
26 अगस्त
नहीं
27 अगस्त
नहीं
August 28
No
29 अगस्त
नहीं
30 अगस्त
नहीं
31 अगस्त
हाँ
$244,221 वॉल्यूम
August 1
$3,094 वॉल्यूम
No
August 2
$574 वॉल्यूम
No
August 3
$14,061 वॉल्यूम
No
August 4
$5,864 वॉल्यूम
No
August 5
$1,382 वॉल्यूम
No
August 6
$2,142 वॉल्यूम
No
August 7
$3,185 वॉल्यूम
No
8 अगस्त
$33,690 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
9 अगस्त
$5,541 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
August 10
$5,988 वॉल्यूम
No
August 11
$1,334 वॉल्यूम
No
August 12
$1,014 वॉल्यूम
No
August 13
$13,778 वॉल्यूम
Yes
14 अगस्त
$30,221 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
15 अगस्त
$11,030 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
16 अगस्त
$5,392 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
17 अगस्त
$9,927 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
18 अगस्त
$2,987 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
19 अगस्त
$6,190 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
August 20
$3,787 वॉल्यूम
No
21 अगस्त
$1,935 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
22 अगस्त
$1,851 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
August 23
$4,969 वॉल्यूम
No
24 अगस्त
$11,933 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
25 अगस्त
$1,666 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
26 अगस्त
$2,235 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
27 अगस्त
$3,129 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
August 28
$2,166 वॉल्यूम
No
29 अगस्त
$4,305 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
30 अगस्त
$1,290 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
31 अगस्त
$47,559 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
Iranian forces have repeatedly struck or harassed commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz and adjacent waters amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict that began in February 2026, including drone and missile attacks on tankers and container ships in late August and early September. These incidents prompted U.S. retaliatory strikes on Iranian military assets and tankers, followed by renewed blockades and sharply reduced transits through the chokepoint. Traders price high probability of additional confirmed Iranian kinetic strikes or seizures before September 30 due to persistent IRGC enforcement actions, mine threats, route restrictions, and the pattern of escalation despite intermittent cease-fire talks. Key upcoming factors include any further naval movements, sanctions enforcement, or diplomatic deadlines that could either deter or provoke new attacks within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 29, 2026, 3:11 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$244,221समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 3:11 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
Iranian forces have repeatedly struck or harassed commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz and adjacent waters amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict that began in February 2026, including drone and missile attacks on tankers and container ships in late August and early September. These incidents prompted U.S. retaliatory strikes on Iranian military assets and tankers, followed by renewed blockades and sharply reduced transits through the chokepoint. Traders price high probability of additional confirmed Iranian kinetic strikes or seizures before September 30 due to persistent IRGC enforcement actions, mine threats, route restrictions, and the pattern of escalation despite intermittent cease-fire talks. Key upcoming factors include any further naval movements, sanctions enforcement, or diplomatic deadlines that could either deter or provoke new attacks within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
वॉल्यूम
$244,221समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 3:11 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Iranian forces have repeatedly struck or harassed commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz and adjacent waters amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict that began in February 2026, including drone and missile attacks on tankers and container ships in late August and early September. These incidents prompted U.S. retaliatory strikes on Iranian military assets and tankers, followed by renewed blockades and sharply reduced transits through the chokepoint. Traders price high probability of additional confirmed Iranian kinetic strikes or seizures before September 30 due to persistent IRGC enforcement actions, mine threats, route restrictions, and the pattern of escalation despite intermittent cease-fire talks. Key upcoming factors include any further naval movements, sanctions enforcement, or diplomatic deadlines that could either deter or provoke new attacks within the resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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