Iranian forces have maintained pressure on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz since declaring it closed in March 2026, with repeated threats and reported strikes reducing tanker traffic to multi-month lows. In late July 2026, Iranian-backed Houthis in Yemen announced and began enforcing a naval blockade targeting Saudi Arabia via the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, claiming missile and drone strikes on at least two Saudi oil tankers. These actions expand disruption risks across two critical chokepoints, directly tying proxy operations to broader U.S.-Iran hostilities and affecting global energy flows. Trader assessments hinge on continued enforcement of these restrictions versus any de-escalation through diplomacy or military responses, with resolution likely tied to verifiable successful interdictions or sustained blockades in the coming weeks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाईरान ने शिपिंग को सफलतापूर्वक टार्गेट किया...?
ईरान ने शिपिंग को सफलतापूर्वक टार्गेट किया...?
$1,149,470 वॉल्यूम
26 जून, 2026
26 जून
नहीं
27 जून
हाँ
28 जून
नहीं
29 जून
नहीं
30 जून
नहीं
1 जुलाई
नहीं
2 जुलाई
नहीं
3 जुलाई
नहीं
4 जुलाई
नहीं
5 जुलाई
नहीं
6 जुलाई
नहीं
7 जुलाई
हाँ
8 जुलाई
नहीं
9 जुलाई
नहीं
July 10
No
July 11
No
July 12
Yes
July 13
No
July 14
Yes
July 15
No
July 16
No
July 17
No
19 जुलाई
नहीं
20 जुलाई
हाँ
21 जुलाई
नहीं
22 जुलाई
नहीं
23 जुलाई
नहीं
24 जुलाई
नहीं
25 जुलाई
नहीं
26 जुलाई
नहीं
27 जुलाई
नहीं
28 जुलाई
नहीं
29 जुलाई
नहीं
30 जुलाई
नहीं
31 जुलाई
नहीं
$1,149,470 वॉल्यूम
26 जून
$53,305 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
27 जून
$76,209 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
28 जून
$41,622 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
29 जून
$70,230 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
30 जून
$63,002 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
1 जुलाई
$37,538 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
2 जुलाई
$32,646 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
3 जुलाई
$45,220 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
4 जुलाई
$137,937 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
5 जुलाई
$42,058 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
6 जुलाई
$76,320 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
7 जुलाई
$71,766 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
8 जुलाई
$71,683 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
9 जुलाई
$37,515 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
July 10
$13,861 वॉल्यूम
No
July 11
$31,605 वॉल्यूम
No
July 12
$41,177 वॉल्यूम
Yes
July 13
$52,730 वॉल्यूम
No
July 14
$23,388 वॉल्यूम
Yes
July 15
$6,745 वॉल्यूम
No
July 16
$16,743 वॉल्यूम
No
July 17
$27,103 वॉल्यूम
No
19 जुलाई
$14,349 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
20 जुलाई
$11,826 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
21 जुलाई
$21,471 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
22 जुलाई
$787 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
23 जुलाई
$14,082 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
24 जुलाई
$1,495 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
25 जुलाई
$1,089 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
26 जुलाई
$225 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
27 जुलाई
$20 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
28 जुलाई
$937 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
29 जुलाई
$1,687 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
30 जुलाई
$770 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
31 जुलाई
$10,330 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
Iranian forces have maintained pressure on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz since declaring it closed in March 2026, with repeated threats and reported strikes reducing tanker traffic to multi-month lows. In late July 2026, Iranian-backed Houthis in Yemen announced and began enforcing a naval blockade targeting Saudi Arabia via the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, claiming missile and drone strikes on at least two Saudi oil tankers. These actions expand disruption risks across two critical chokepoints, directly tying proxy operations to broader U.S.-Iran hostilities and affecting global energy flows. Trader assessments hinge on continued enforcement of these restrictions versus any de-escalation through diplomacy or military responses, with resolution likely tied to verifiable successful interdictions or sustained blockades in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 25, 2026, 7:20 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,149,470समाप्ति तिथि
9 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 25, 2026, 7:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
Iranian forces have maintained pressure on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz since declaring it closed in March 2026, with repeated threats and reported strikes reducing tanker traffic to multi-month lows. In late July 2026, Iranian-backed Houthis in Yemen announced and began enforcing a naval blockade targeting Saudi Arabia via the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, claiming missile and drone strikes on at least two Saudi oil tankers. These actions expand disruption risks across two critical chokepoints, directly tying proxy operations to broader U.S.-Iran hostilities and affecting global energy flows. Trader assessments hinge on continued enforcement of these restrictions versus any de-escalation through diplomacy or military responses, with resolution likely tied to verifiable successful interdictions or sustained blockades in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
वॉल्यूम
$1,149,470समाप्ति तिथि
9 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 25, 2026, 7:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Iranian forces have maintained pressure on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz since declaring it closed in March 2026, with repeated threats and reported strikes reducing tanker traffic to multi-month lows. In late July 2026, Iranian-backed Houthis in Yemen announced and began enforcing a naval blockade targeting Saudi Arabia via the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, claiming missile and drone strikes on at least two Saudi oil tankers. These actions expand disruption risks across two critical chokepoints, directly tying proxy operations to broader U.S.-Iran hostilities and affecting global energy flows. Trader assessments hinge on continued enforcement of these restrictions versus any de-escalation through diplomacy or military responses, with resolution likely tied to verifiable successful interdictions or sustained blockades in the coming weeks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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