Ongoing U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations have left a wide gap on uranium enrichment, with Washington pressing for a long-term moratorium, facility dismantlement, and removal of existing stockpiles while Tehran maintains domestic enrichment as a non-negotiable right under IAEA oversight. Recent rounds through mid-2026 produced limited memoranda on other issues but no movement on this core dispute, and IAEA reports confirm continued Iranian production of higher-purity material alongside verification shortfalls. With the September 30 deadline weeks away and no scheduled breakthrough imminent, trader consensus reflects these entrenched positions. A rapid bilateral concession or external diplomatic intervention could still shift the outcome before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाईरान 30 सितंबर तक यूरेनियम के संवर्धन को समाप्त करने के लिए सहमत है?
ईरान 30 सितंबर तक यूरेनियम के संवर्धन को समाप्त करने के लिए सहमत है?
हाँ
4% संभावना
$59,571 वॉल्यूम
$59,571 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
हाँ
4% संभावना
$59,571 वॉल्यूम
$59,571 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations have left a wide gap on uranium enrichment, with Washington pressing for a long-term moratorium, facility dismantlement, and removal of existing stockpiles while Tehran maintains domestic enrichment as a non-negotiable right under IAEA oversight. Recent rounds through mid-2026 produced limited memoranda on other issues but no movement on this core dispute, and IAEA reports confirm continued Iranian production of higher-purity material alongside verification shortfalls. With the September 30 deadline weeks away and no scheduled breakthrough imminent, trader consensus reflects these entrenched positions. A rapid bilateral concession or external diplomatic intervention could still shift the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 9, 2026, 9:43 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$59,571समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 9, 2026, 9:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations have left a wide gap on uranium enrichment, with Washington pressing for a long-term moratorium, facility dismantlement, and removal of existing stockpiles while Tehran maintains domestic enrichment as a non-negotiable right under IAEA oversight. Recent rounds through mid-2026 produced limited memoranda on other issues but no movement on this core dispute, and IAEA reports confirm continued Iranian production of higher-purity material alongside verification shortfalls. With the September 30 deadline weeks away and no scheduled breakthrough imminent, trader consensus reflects these entrenched positions. A rapid bilateral concession or external diplomatic intervention could still shift the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$59,571समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 9, 2026, 9:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations have left a wide gap on uranium enrichment, with Washington pressing for a long-term moratorium, facility dismantlement, and removal of existing stockpiles while Tehran maintains domestic enrichment as a non-negotiable right under IAEA oversight. Recent rounds through mid-2026 produced limited memoranda on other issues but no movement on this core dispute, and IAEA reports confirm continued Iranian production of higher-purity material alongside verification shortfalls. With the September 30 deadline weeks away and no scheduled breakthrough imminent, trader consensus reflects these entrenched positions. A rapid bilateral concession or external diplomatic intervention could still shift the outcome before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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