Iowa's 4th Congressional District remains a longstanding Republican stronghold, reflected in the market's heavy weighting toward the GOP nominee Chris McGowan. The seat opened after incumbent Randy Feenstra pursued the 2026 gubernatorial nomination, which he lost in the June Republican primary. McGowan, a chamber of commerce leader, advanced unopposed in the House primary while Democrat Dave Dawson secured his party's nomination against two challengers. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on the district's consistent voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Potential shifts could arise from major national political realignments, candidate-specific developments, or unusually high Democratic turnout in this rural northwest Iowa district ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाIA-04 House Election Winner
IA-04 House Election Winner
$32,156 वॉल्यूम
$32,156 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$32,156 वॉल्यूम
$32,156 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$20,064 वॉल्यूम
93%
Democratic Party
$12,091 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 4th Congressional District remains a longstanding Republican stronghold, reflected in the market's heavy weighting toward the GOP nominee Chris McGowan. The seat opened after incumbent Randy Feenstra pursued the 2026 gubernatorial nomination, which he lost in the June Republican primary. McGowan, a chamber of commerce leader, advanced unopposed in the House primary while Democrat Dave Dawson secured his party's nomination against two challengers. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on the district's consistent voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Potential shifts could arise from major national political realignments, candidate-specific developments, or unusually high Democratic turnout in this rural northwest Iowa district ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$32,156समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 4th Congressional District remains a longstanding Republican stronghold, reflected in the market's heavy weighting toward the GOP nominee Chris McGowan. The seat opened after incumbent Randy Feenstra pursued the 2026 gubernatorial nomination, which he lost in the June Republican primary. McGowan, a chamber of commerce leader, advanced unopposed in the House primary while Democrat Dave Dawson secured his party's nomination against two challengers. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on the district's consistent voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Potential shifts could arise from major national political realignments, candidate-specific developments, or unusually high Democratic turnout in this rural northwest Iowa district ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$32,156समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's 4th Congressional District remains a longstanding Republican stronghold, reflected in the market's heavy weighting toward the GOP nominee Chris McGowan. The seat opened after incumbent Randy Feenstra pursued the 2026 gubernatorial nomination, which he lost in the June Republican primary. McGowan, a chamber of commerce leader, advanced unopposed in the House primary while Democrat Dave Dawson secured his party's nomination against two challengers. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on the district's consistent voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Potential shifts could arise from major national political realignments, candidate-specific developments, or unusually high Democratic turnout in this rural northwest Iowa district ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न