Recent mid-decade redistricting in Texas, enacted in August 2025 at the urging of President Trump, aimed to shift five Democratic-leaning seats toward Republicans through boundary changes in South Texas and urban areas, reducing the baseline for Democratic holds from 13 to roughly eight on 2024 voting patterns. Trader consensus clustering around 10–13 seats reflects uncertainty over whether this map will deliver projected GOP gains, as early 2026 polling and primary turnout show Democratic candidates competitive or leading in targeted districts such as 15, 28, 34, and the new 35th. Key variables include Hispanic voter shifts, candidate quality in Latino-majority areas, and broader midterm dynamics that could limit net Republican flips to one or two seats. Outcomes in these swing districts will determine final totals, with national conditions and turnout potentially widening or narrowing the range before November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 22%
10 16%
13 16%
11 15%
$13,333 वॉल्यूम
$13,333 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
<8
1%
8
4%
9
10%
10
16%
11
15%
12
22%
13
16%
14+
13%
12 22%
10 16%
13 16%
11 15%
$13,333 वॉल्यूम
$13,333 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
<8
$236 वॉल्यूम
1%
8
$4,130 वॉल्यूम
4%
9
$1,046 वॉल्यूम
10%
10
$1,380 वॉल्यूम
16%
11
$740 वॉल्यूम
15%
12
$929 वॉल्यूम
22%
13
$1,962 वॉल्यूम
16%
14+
$2,911 वॉल्यूम
13%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent mid-decade redistricting in Texas, enacted in August 2025 at the urging of President Trump, aimed to shift five Democratic-leaning seats toward Republicans through boundary changes in South Texas and urban areas, reducing the baseline for Democratic holds from 13 to roughly eight on 2024 voting patterns. Trader consensus clustering around 10–13 seats reflects uncertainty over whether this map will deliver projected GOP gains, as early 2026 polling and primary turnout show Democratic candidates competitive or leading in targeted districts such as 15, 28, 34, and the new 35th. Key variables include Hispanic voter shifts, candidate quality in Latino-majority areas, and broader midterm dynamics that could limit net Republican flips to one or two seats. Outcomes in these swing districts will determine final totals, with national conditions and turnout potentially widening or narrowing the range before November.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,333समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent mid-decade redistricting in Texas, enacted in August 2025 at the urging of President Trump, aimed to shift five Democratic-leaning seats toward Republicans through boundary changes in South Texas and urban areas, reducing the baseline for Democratic holds from 13 to roughly eight on 2024 voting patterns. Trader consensus clustering around 10–13 seats reflects uncertainty over whether this map will deliver projected GOP gains, as early 2026 polling and primary turnout show Democratic candidates competitive or leading in targeted districts such as 15, 28, 34, and the new 35th. Key variables include Hispanic voter shifts, candidate quality in Latino-majority areas, and broader midterm dynamics that could limit net Republican flips to one or two seats. Outcomes in these swing districts will determine final totals, with national conditions and turnout potentially widening or narrowing the range before November.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$13,333समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent mid-decade redistricting in Texas, enacted in August 2025 at the urging of President Trump, aimed to shift five Democratic-leaning seats toward Republicans through boundary changes in South Texas and urban areas, reducing the baseline for Democratic holds from 13 to roughly eight on 2024 voting patterns. Trader consensus clustering around 10–13 seats reflects uncertainty over whether this map will deliver projected GOP gains, as early 2026 polling and primary turnout show Democratic candidates competitive or leading in targeted districts such as 15, 28, 34, and the new 35th. Key variables include Hispanic voter shifts, candidate quality in Latino-majority areas, and broader midterm dynamics that could limit net Republican flips to one or two seats. Outcomes in these swing districts will determine final totals, with national conditions and turnout potentially widening or narrowing the range before November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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