New York’s 26 congressional districts feature a current 19-7 Democratic edge, with most seats rated safe for their incumbents heading into the November 2026 midterms. Trader consensus centers on 19–21 Democratic seats because a handful of competitive races—primarily Republican-held NY-17, where incumbent Mike Lawler faces a strong Democratic challenge, and Democratic-held districts on Long Island and in the Hudson Valley—will decide net gains or losses. Recent June primaries saw moderates prevail in battleground seats while progressives consolidated safe urban districts, leaving the general election map largely unchanged. National midterm dynamics, including the referendum on the second Trump term and Democratic polling advantages, have kept probabilities clustered around modest net changes rather than large swings, consistent with historical patterns in a state without major new redistricting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया20 37%
21+ 27%
19 25%
18 6.0%
नया
नया
2 नव, 2026
<16
<1%
16
1%
17
1%
18
8%
19
25%
20
37%
21+
27%
20 37%
21+ 27%
19 25%
18 6.0%
नया
नया
2 नव, 2026
<16
$559 वॉल्यूम
<1%
16
$374 वॉल्यूम
1%
17
$791 वॉल्यूम
1%
18
$983 वॉल्यूम
8%
19
$2,664 वॉल्यूम
25%
20
$1,238 वॉल्यूम
37%
21+
$935 वॉल्यूम
27%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in New York in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All New York US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.New York’s 26 congressional districts feature a current 19-7 Democratic edge, with most seats rated safe for their incumbents heading into the November 2026 midterms. Trader consensus centers on 19–21 Democratic seats because a handful of competitive races—primarily Republican-held NY-17, where incumbent Mike Lawler faces a strong Democratic challenge, and Democratic-held districts on Long Island and in the Hudson Valley—will decide net gains or losses. Recent June primaries saw moderates prevail in battleground seats while progressives consolidated safe urban districts, leaving the general election map largely unchanged. National midterm dynamics, including the referendum on the second Trump term and Democratic polling advantages, have kept probabilities clustered around modest net changes rather than large swings, consistent with historical patterns in a state without major new redistricting.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in New York in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All New York US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All New York US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,545समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in New York in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All New York US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.New York’s 26 congressional districts feature a current 19-7 Democratic edge, with most seats rated safe for their incumbents heading into the November 2026 midterms. Trader consensus centers on 19–21 Democratic seats because a handful of competitive races—primarily Republican-held NY-17, where incumbent Mike Lawler faces a strong Democratic challenge, and Democratic-held districts on Long Island and in the Hudson Valley—will decide net gains or losses. Recent June primaries saw moderates prevail in battleground seats while progressives consolidated safe urban districts, leaving the general election map largely unchanged. National midterm dynamics, including the referendum on the second Trump term and Democratic polling advantages, have kept probabilities clustered around modest net changes rather than large swings, consistent with historical patterns in a state without major new redistricting.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in New York in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All New York US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All New York US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$7,545समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...New York’s 26 congressional districts feature a current 19-7 Democratic edge, with most seats rated safe for their incumbents heading into the November 2026 midterms. Trader consensus centers on 19–21 Democratic seats because a handful of competitive races—primarily Republican-held NY-17, where incumbent Mike Lawler faces a strong Democratic challenge, and Democratic-held districts on Long Island and in the Hudson Valley—will decide net gains or losses. Recent June primaries saw moderates prevail in battleground seats while progressives consolidated safe urban districts, leaving the general election map largely unchanged. National midterm dynamics, including the referendum on the second Trump term and Democratic polling advantages, have kept probabilities clustered around modest net changes rather than large swings, consistent with historical patterns in a state without major new redistricting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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