Recent mid-decade redistricting in Florida, enacted by the Republican legislature and signed by Gov. Ron DeSantis, redrew lines to target several Democratic-held districts and shift the delegation toward a 24-4 Republican advantage. This map places incumbents including Darren Soto in the 9th, Kathy Castor in the 14th, and Jared Moskowitz in the 25th on more challenging terrain where Trump performed strongly in 2024. Trader consensus around 4 Democratic seats reflects these structural changes and historical GOP dominance in the state, while probabilities for 5–7 seats incorporate uncertainty from national midterm dynamics, Democratic volunteer efforts, and shifting race ratings that have moved some contests toward toss-ups. Key differentiators among outcomes hinge on whether targeted incumbents retain their seats or if broader turnout patterns allow Democrats to exceed the map’s intended floor.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 13.6%
7 14%
5 13%
12+ 13%
नया
नया
2 नव, 2026
4 से कम
1%
4
14%
5
13%
6
23%
7
14%
8
7%
9
5%
10
8%
11
11%
12+
13%
4 13.6%
7 14%
5 13%
12+ 13%
नया
नया
2 नव, 2026
4 से कम
$184 वॉल्यूम
1%
4
$1,341 वॉल्यूम
14%
5
$647 वॉल्यूम
13%
6
$419 वॉल्यूम
23%
7
$414 वॉल्यूम
14%
8
$597 वॉल्यूम
7%
9
$391 वॉल्यूम
5%
10
$590 वॉल्यूम
8%
11
$750 वॉल्यूम
11%
12+
$481 वॉल्यूम
13%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Florida in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent mid-decade redistricting in Florida, enacted by the Republican legislature and signed by Gov. Ron DeSantis, redrew lines to target several Democratic-held districts and shift the delegation toward a 24-4 Republican advantage. This map places incumbents including Darren Soto in the 9th, Kathy Castor in the 14th, and Jared Moskowitz in the 25th on more challenging terrain where Trump performed strongly in 2024. Trader consensus around 4 Democratic seats reflects these structural changes and historical GOP dominance in the state, while probabilities for 5–7 seats incorporate uncertainty from national midterm dynamics, Democratic volunteer efforts, and shifting race ratings that have moved some contests toward toss-ups. Key differentiators among outcomes hinge on whether targeted incumbents retain their seats or if broader turnout patterns allow Democrats to exceed the map’s intended floor.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Florida in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 11, 2026, 10:18 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,815समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 10:18 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Florida in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent mid-decade redistricting in Florida, enacted by the Republican legislature and signed by Gov. Ron DeSantis, redrew lines to target several Democratic-held districts and shift the delegation toward a 24-4 Republican advantage. This map places incumbents including Darren Soto in the 9th, Kathy Castor in the 14th, and Jared Moskowitz in the 25th on more challenging terrain where Trump performed strongly in 2024. Trader consensus around 4 Democratic seats reflects these structural changes and historical GOP dominance in the state, while probabilities for 5–7 seats incorporate uncertainty from national midterm dynamics, Democratic volunteer efforts, and shifting race ratings that have moved some contests toward toss-ups. Key differentiators among outcomes hinge on whether targeted incumbents retain their seats or if broader turnout patterns allow Democrats to exceed the map’s intended floor.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Florida in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$5,815समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 10:18 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent mid-decade redistricting in Florida, enacted by the Republican legislature and signed by Gov. Ron DeSantis, redrew lines to target several Democratic-held districts and shift the delegation toward a 24-4 Republican advantage. This map places incumbents including Darren Soto in the 9th, Kathy Castor in the 14th, and Jared Moskowitz in the 25th on more challenging terrain where Trump performed strongly in 2024. Trader consensus around 4 Democratic seats reflects these structural changes and historical GOP dominance in the state, while probabilities for 5–7 seats incorporate uncertainty from national midterm dynamics, Democratic volunteer efforts, and shifting race ratings that have moved some contests toward toss-ups. Key differentiators among outcomes hinge on whether targeted incumbents retain their seats or if broader turnout patterns allow Democrats to exceed the map’s intended floor.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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