Anthropic’s recent Claude releases, particularly Fable 5.1 and Opus 5, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) leaderboards with scores around 59–65% on the 2,500-question expert benchmark testing graduate-level reasoning across math, sciences, and humanities. These gains stem from advances in extended reasoning chains, adaptive inference, and targeted training that outperform earlier frontier models stuck below 50%. Meta’s Muse Spark and OpenAI’s GPT-5.4/5.5 variants follow closely, while open-weight entries like GLM-5.3 and Qwen series show strong tool-augmented results. Trader sentiment reflects Anthropic’s consistent edge through 2026 releases, tempered by uncertainty around late-year launches from OpenAI’s Astra line, xAI Grok updates, or Google Gemini iterations that could close the gap before year-end resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$55,351 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
60%+
57%
65%+
31%
70%+
18%
75%+
12%
80%+
7%
90%+
5%
$55,351 वॉल्यूम
60%+
$30,200 वॉल्यूम
57%
65%+
$13,672 वॉल्यूम
31%
70%+
$5,265 वॉल्यूम
18%
75%+
$2,857 वॉल्यूम
12%
80%+
$1,151 वॉल्यूम
7%
90%+
$2,206 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s recent Claude releases, particularly Fable 5.1 and Opus 5, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) leaderboards with scores around 59–65% on the 2,500-question expert benchmark testing graduate-level reasoning across math, sciences, and humanities. These gains stem from advances in extended reasoning chains, adaptive inference, and targeted training that outperform earlier frontier models stuck below 50%. Meta’s Muse Spark and OpenAI’s GPT-5.4/5.5 variants follow closely, while open-weight entries like GLM-5.3 and Qwen series show strong tool-augmented results. Trader sentiment reflects Anthropic’s consistent edge through 2026 releases, tempered by uncertainty around late-year launches from OpenAI’s Astra line, xAI Grok updates, or Google Gemini iterations that could close the gap before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$55,351समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://agi.safe.ai/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s recent Claude releases, particularly Fable 5.1 and Opus 5, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) leaderboards with scores around 59–65% on the 2,500-question expert benchmark testing graduate-level reasoning across math, sciences, and humanities. These gains stem from advances in extended reasoning chains, adaptive inference, and targeted training that outperform earlier frontier models stuck below 50%. Meta’s Muse Spark and OpenAI’s GPT-5.4/5.5 variants follow closely, while open-weight entries like GLM-5.3 and Qwen series show strong tool-augmented results. Trader sentiment reflects Anthropic’s consistent edge through 2026 releases, tempered by uncertainty around late-year launches from OpenAI’s Astra line, xAI Grok updates, or Google Gemini iterations that could close the gap before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
वॉल्यूम
$55,351समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://agi.safe.ai/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s recent Claude releases, particularly Fable 5.1 and Opus 5, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) leaderboards with scores around 59–65% on the 2,500-question expert benchmark testing graduate-level reasoning across math, sciences, and humanities. These gains stem from advances in extended reasoning chains, adaptive inference, and targeted training that outperform earlier frontier models stuck below 50%. Meta’s Muse Spark and OpenAI’s GPT-5.4/5.5 variants follow closely, while open-weight entries like GLM-5.3 and Qwen series show strong tool-augmented results. Trader sentiment reflects Anthropic’s consistent edge through 2026 releases, tempered by uncertainty around late-year launches from OpenAI’s Astra line, xAI Grok updates, or Google Gemini iterations that could close the gap before year-end resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासंबंधित
क्या 2026 में Humanity’s Last Exam में OpenAI मॉडल द्वारा प्राप्त की गई सर्वोच्च स्कोर 50% या उससे अधिक होगी?
90%
हाँ
क्या 2026 में Humanity’s Last Exam पर किसी Meta मॉडल द्वारा प्राप्त की गई सर्वोच्च स्कोर 55% या उससे अधिक होगी?
45%
हाँ
क्या 2026 में ह्युमैनिटीज़ लास्ट एग्ज़ाम में ऐन्थ्रॉपिक क्लॉड मॉडल द्वारा प्राप्त किया गया सर्वोच्च स्कोर 55% या उससे अधिक होगा?
90%
हाँ
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