Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges in the Strait of Hormuz have included repeated strikes on Hengam Island's military infrastructure, including reported US projectiles in July 2026 and earlier airstrikes targeting air defenses, radars, and drone facilities in June and April. A September 13, 2026, incident involving an Iranian cargo vessel struck near Hengam and Qeshm killed one and wounded others amid overnight explosions, though no party claimed responsibility. Iran continues to administer the island, reinforce naval and coastal positions, and assert sovereignty over its strategic holdings used to monitor shipping lanes. No verified shift in primary governmental or military control has occurred, and trader pricing reflects the significant operational and escalation barriers to any external force establishing lasting administration before near-term resolution dates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहेंगाम द्वीप अब ईरानी नियंत्रण में नहीं है...?
$208,449 वॉल्यूम
30 सितंबर
1%
$208,449 वॉल्यूम
30 सितंबर
1%
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 26, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91..."No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges in the Strait of Hormuz have included repeated strikes on Hengam Island's military infrastructure, including reported US projectiles in July 2026 and earlier airstrikes targeting air defenses, radars, and drone facilities in June and April. A September 13, 2026, incident involving an Iranian cargo vessel struck near Hengam and Qeshm killed one and wounded others amid overnight explosions, though no party claimed responsibility. Iran continues to administer the island, reinforce naval and coastal positions, and assert sovereignty over its strategic holdings used to monitor shipping lanes. No verified shift in primary governmental or military control has occurred, and trader pricing reflects the significant operational and escalation barriers to any external force establishing lasting administration before near-term resolution dates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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