Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects profound uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's total prison time amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial, underway since mid-April 2026 with key accuser Jessica Mann's testimony drawing scrutiny after struggling on the stand late last month. The 33.1% implied probability for 20-30 years stems from his consecutive 16-year California rape conviction—appeal hearing met skepticism last week—potentially stacking with a pending higher-level sexual assault sentence from the 2025 retrial and up to four more years here, though his frail health at 74, including cancer and wheelchair use, bolsters the 20.9% no-prison-time odds via possible compassionate release or time served since 2020. Resolution hinges on forthcoming verdict, appeals, and sentencing in this enduring #MeToo reckoning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहार्वे वाइनस्टीन जेल का समय?
हार्वे वाइनस्टीन जेल का समय?
20-30 साल 33.1%
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं 21.0%
30+ साल 17.4%
10-20 साल 12.3%
$914,901 वॉल्यूम
$914,901 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2025
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं
21%
5 वर्ष से कम
9%
5-10 साल
5%
10-20 साल
12%
20-30 साल
33%
30+ साल
17%
20-30 साल 33.1%
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं 21.0%
30+ साल 17.4%
10-20 साल 12.3%
$914,901 वॉल्यूम
$914,901 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2025
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं
$328,530 वॉल्यूम
21%
5 वर्ष से कम
$119,410 वॉल्यूम
9%
5-10 साल
$69,482 वॉल्यूम
5%
10-20 साल
$147,216 वॉल्यूम
12%
20-30 साल
$185,991 वॉल्यूम
33%
30+ साल
$64,272 वॉल्यूम
17%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects profound uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's total prison time amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial, underway since mid-April 2026 with key accuser Jessica Mann's testimony drawing scrutiny after struggling on the stand late last month. The 33.1% implied probability for 20-30 years stems from his consecutive 16-year California rape conviction—appeal hearing met skepticism last week—potentially stacking with a pending higher-level sexual assault sentence from the 2025 retrial and up to four more years here, though his frail health at 74, including cancer and wheelchair use, bolsters the 20.9% no-prison-time odds via possible compassionate release or time served since 2020. Resolution hinges on forthcoming verdict, appeals, and sentencing in this enduring #MeToo reckoning.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$914,901समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2025बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects profound uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's total prison time amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial, underway since mid-April 2026 with key accuser Jessica Mann's testimony drawing scrutiny after struggling on the stand late last month. The 33.1% implied probability for 20-30 years stems from his consecutive 16-year California rape conviction—appeal hearing met skepticism last week—potentially stacking with a pending higher-level sexual assault sentence from the 2025 retrial and up to four more years here, though his frail health at 74, including cancer and wheelchair use, bolsters the 20.9% no-prison-time odds via possible compassionate release or time served since 2020. Resolution hinges on forthcoming verdict, appeals, and sentencing in this enduring #MeToo reckoning.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$914,901समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2025बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects profound uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's total prison time amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial, underway since mid-April 2026 with key accuser Jessica Mann's testimony drawing scrutiny after struggling on the stand late last month. The 33.1% implied probability for 20-30 years stems from his consecutive 16-year California rape conviction—appeal hearing met skepticism last week—potentially stacking with a pending higher-level sexual assault sentence from the 2025 retrial and up to four more years here, though his frail health at 74, including cancer and wheelchair use, bolsters the 20.9% no-prison-time odds via possible compassionate release or time served since 2020. Resolution hinges on forthcoming verdict, appeals, and sentencing in this enduring #MeToo reckoning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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