The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after a deadlocked jury, has sharply elevated the market-implied odds of no additional prison time to 75.9%. Prosecutors now weigh whether to pursue a fourth trial on the Jessica Mann allegation, with reports indicating a majority of jurors favored acquittal. Weinstein, already serving a 16-year California sentence for prior rape and sexual assault convictions while appealing that verdict, faces limited upside from further Manhattan proceedings at age 74 amid documented health concerns. Any potential New York sentencing on the separate Haley count remains pending but is viewed by traders as unlikely to extend his effective incarceration substantially.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहार्वे वाइनस्टीन जेल का समय?
हार्वे वाइनस्टीन जेल का समय?
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं 75.9%
20-30 साल 9.2%
10-20 साल 6.1%
5 वर्ष से कम 3.9%
$1,055,290 वॉल्यूम
$1,055,290 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2025
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं
76%
5 वर्ष से कम
4%
5-10 साल
4%
10-20 साल
6%
20-30 साल
9%
30+ साल
2%
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं 75.9%
20-30 साल 9.2%
10-20 साल 6.1%
5 वर्ष से कम 3.9%
$1,055,290 वॉल्यूम
$1,055,290 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2025
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं
$368,846 वॉल्यूम
76%
5 वर्ष से कम
$138,666 वॉल्यूम
4%
5-10 साल
$88,107 वॉल्यूम
4%
10-20 साल
$167,393 वॉल्यूम
6%
20-30 साल
$210,639 वॉल्यूम
9%
30+ साल
$81,639 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after a deadlocked jury, has sharply elevated the market-implied odds of no additional prison time to 75.9%. Prosecutors now weigh whether to pursue a fourth trial on the Jessica Mann allegation, with reports indicating a majority of jurors favored acquittal. Weinstein, already serving a 16-year California sentence for prior rape and sexual assault convictions while appealing that verdict, faces limited upside from further Manhattan proceedings at age 74 amid documented health concerns. Any potential New York sentencing on the separate Haley count remains pending but is viewed by traders as unlikely to extend his effective incarceration substantially.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,055,290समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2025बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after a deadlocked jury, has sharply elevated the market-implied odds of no additional prison time to 75.9%. Prosecutors now weigh whether to pursue a fourth trial on the Jessica Mann allegation, with reports indicating a majority of jurors favored acquittal. Weinstein, already serving a 16-year California sentence for prior rape and sexual assault convictions while appealing that verdict, faces limited upside from further Manhattan proceedings at age 74 amid documented health concerns. Any potential New York sentencing on the separate Haley count remains pending but is viewed by traders as unlikely to extend his effective incarceration substantially.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$1,055,290समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2025बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after a deadlocked jury, has sharply elevated the market-implied odds of no additional prison time to 75.9%. Prosecutors now weigh whether to pursue a fourth trial on the Jessica Mann allegation, with reports indicating a majority of jurors favored acquittal. Weinstein, already serving a 16-year California sentence for prior rape and sexual assault convictions while appealing that verdict, faces limited upside from further Manhattan proceedings at age 74 amid documented health concerns. Any potential New York sentencing on the separate Haley count remains pending but is viewed by traders as unlikely to extend his effective incarceration substantially.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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