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icon for फ्रांसीसी चुनाव द्वारा बुलाया गया...?
राजनीति·फ़्रांस

फ्रांसीसी चुनाव द्वारा बुलाया गया...?

icon for फ्रांसीसी चुनाव द्वारा बुलाया गया...?
राजनीति·फ़्रांस

फ्रांसीसी चुनाव द्वारा बुलाया गया...?

$1,094,426 वॉल्यूम

31 दिस, 2026
Polymarket

$1,094,426 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

31 दिसंबर, 2026

$5,807 वॉल्यूम

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. **France remains in a prolonged period of parliamentary instability following the inconclusive 2024 legislative elections that produced a hung National Assembly divided among the left-wing New Popular Front, Macron-aligned centrists, and the far-right National Rally.** Multiple governments have fallen to no-confidence votes, leading to rapid turnover in prime ministers, including recent appointments of figures such as François Bayrou and Sébastien Lecornu. President Macron has repeatedly ruled out dissolving the Assembly for a fresh snap legislative vote, citing both constitutional restrictions (one year must elapse after the prior dissolution) and the risk of further fragmentation ahead of the April–May 2027 presidential contest. Opposition parties, particularly National Rally and left-wing groups, continue pressing for early elections to break the deadlock on budgets and policy, yet Macron has prioritized caretaker governance and negotiations to maintain stability. Regular legislative elections are not due until 2029. Trader consensus on prediction markets reflects this low near-term likelihood of a dissolution announcement, with probabilities concentrated on later 2026 or 2027 windows absent a major triggering crisis such as repeated government collapses or acute fiscal impasse. The 2027 presidential race, where polls show Marine Le Pen leading, now dominates political attention and reduces incentives for an earlier legislative vote.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$1,094,426
समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027
बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 12:55 PM ET

रिज़ॉल्वर

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. **France remains in a prolonged period of parliamentary instability following the inconclusive 2024 legislative elections that produced a hung National Assembly divided among the left-wing New Popular Front, Macron-aligned centrists, and the far-right National Rally.** Multiple governments have fallen to no-confidence votes, leading to rapid turnover in prime ministers, including recent appointments of figures such as François Bayrou and Sébastien Lecornu. President Macron has repeatedly ruled out dissolving the Assembly for a fresh snap legislative vote, citing both constitutional restrictions (one year must elapse after the prior dissolution) and the risk of further fragmentation ahead of the April–May 2027 presidential contest. Opposition parties, particularly National Rally and left-wing groups, continue pressing for early elections to break the deadlock on budgets and policy, yet Macron has prioritized caretaker governance and negotiations to maintain stability. Regular legislative elections are not due until 2029. Trader consensus on prediction markets reflects this low near-term likelihood of a dissolution announcement, with probabilities concentrated on later 2026 or 2027 windows absent a major triggering crisis such as repeated government collapses or acute fiscal impasse. The 2027 presidential race, where polls show Marine Le Pen leading, now dominates political attention and reduces incentives for an earlier legislative vote.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$1,094,426
समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027
बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 12:55 PM ET

रिज़ॉल्वर

0x65070BE91...

संबंधित

icon for Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

64%
icon for Macron out by December 31, 2026?

Macron out by December 31, 2026?

4%
icon for क्या यूक्रेन में 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक चुनाव कराए जाएंगे?

क्या यूक्रेन में 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक चुनाव कराए जाएंगे?

10%
हाँ

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"फ्रांसीसी चुनाव द्वारा बुलाया गया...?" Polymarket पर 9 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 31 दिसंबर, 2026 8% (8¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद July 31, 2026 0% पर है।

आज तक, "फ्रांसीसी चुनाव द्वारा बुलाया गया...?" ने कुल $1.1 million ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Aug 26, 2025 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"फ्रांसीसी चुनाव द्वारा बुलाया गया...?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 9 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

यह एक खुला बाज़ार है। "फ्रांसीसी चुनाव द्वारा बुलाया गया...?" के लिए वर्तमान अग्रणी "31 दिसंबर, 2026" केवल 8% पर है, "July 31, 2026" 0% पर पास है। किसी भी परिणाम के पास मज़बूत बहुमत नहीं होने से, ट्रेडर इसे अत्यधिक अनिश्चित मानते हैं। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं।

"फ्रांसीसी चुनाव द्वारा बुलाया गया...?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।