Incumbent Republican María Elvira Salazar holds the edge in Florida’s 27th congressional district, where her substantial fundraising lead and incumbency in a Republican-leaning seat (R+6 partisan voting index) underpin trader consensus. The race tightened in September after internal polls showed a statistical tie or narrow Salazar lead, prompting the Cook Political Report to shift its rating from Likely Republican to Lean Republican. Democrat Eliott Rodriguez, a longtime former CBS Miami anchor who won his primary, has benefited from DCCC Red to Blue support and voter concerns over cost of living and immigration enforcement. Salazar’s campaign ad criticizing certain Trump administration deportation practices highlighted divisions among Hispanic voters in the majority-Latino district, though her overall resources and name recognition continue to favor her heading into the November 3 general election.